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Mary Pope-Handy
Realtor
CRS, ABR, E-Pro, SRES
Sereno Group Real Estate
214 Los Gatos-Saratoga Rd
Los Gatos, CA 95030
408 204-7673
Mary (at) PopeHandy.com
License# 01153805


Selling homes in
Silicon Valley
:
San Jose, Los Gatos,
Saratoga, Campbell,
Almaden Valley,
Cambrian Park and
Santa Clara County

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Author Archive

San Jose CA 95129 Real Estate Market Info

Friday, February 3rd, 2012
The 95129 area of San Jose, which is sometimes referred to as the “Cupertino Border” area and is generally part of “West San  Jose”, is highly desirable due to the excellent school scores in the Cupertino School District, well maintained homes and great commute location to companies such as Apple (headquartered in Cupertino).
Today we’ll consider the real estate market activity for houses in this area today and in relation to recent history.
This data  will be automatically updated by Altos Research (to which I have a subscription) weekly. Altos uses list prices, not sales or sold prices, FYI.

Median List price for San Jose 95129

Median list price, all quartiles combined, going back about 6 years. Peak for pricing was in very late 2007.  There was a bit of a rally in both 2009 and 2010, but gains were lost in 2011.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Median list price for just the last 12 months:

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com
(more…)

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If my real estate purchase offer is accepted, when will they cash my check?

Tuesday, January 31st, 2012

Silicon Valley home buyers want to understand time frames, expectations and requirements when signing a purchase offer on real estate.  One of the most important to fully grasp is when the initial deposit check will go to escrow and be cashed.

The quick answer to the question about when the Silicon Valley real estate purchase offer check will be cashed:

Your initial deposit check or good faith deposit check (or wire transfer or other means of conveyance) is due within 3 business days of acceptance (also called “contract formation”) unless the contract is changed by checking the box and filling in the blank for a different answer.  By the way, everywhere else in the contract, time is measured by “days”, not “business days”. This is the one exception! (more…)

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Cupertino Real Estate Market Trends and Statistics

Sunday, January 29th, 2012

How’s the Cupertino real estate market right now? Let’s start with the most basic window into conditions: supply and demand. (This graph and more info comes from my Cupertino Real Estate Report. Please click on the link for much more data and information – with statistics and trends dating back many years. Also you will find reports which are monthly, quarterly and annually generated. Finally, there’s a “property analysis” tab which enables you to check sales – and see images – around any Cupertino address. Please allow the analysis tab to do its slow load – it’s worth it – enjoy!)

Cupertino Real Estate Supply and Demand

Cupertino Real Estate Market Barometer of Supply and Demand

Cupertino Real Estate Market Barometer of Supply and Demand

The realty market barometer is going through the roof!  This implies that it’s very easy for Cupertino home sellers to get their properties into contract and to the closing table, that it is a hot seller’s market in Cupertino.  Please note the darkest line reflects housing inventory – and it’s been plummeting for months.  (Look at each year for October through December and you will note that the pattern is seasonal – but the actual number of homes available does vary considerably.)  Now please note the pale gray line, which indicates the number of homes selling and closing escrow.  The bigger the gap between these lines, the more choices buyers have, and the narrower the gap, the fewer.  Right now, for the first time covered by the chart above, these lines have met, meaning that homes are selling at the same rate that they are coming on the market.  When supply matches or outpaces demand, prices nearly always rise.

But what about home prices in Cupertino?

Here’s a look at the numbers, in brief, as reported with closed sales in December 2011.  Surprisingly, although the market appears to be very hot, prices don’t seem to reflect that – perhaps “yet”.  The median sales price of houses in Cupertino are off significantly from both the month prior and the year prior, and the average sales price is down a little. The number of sales is off a little and the list price to sales price is off some too (both year over year and month over month). Meanwhile, the days on market are growing pretty steadily.

Trends At a Glance Dec 2011 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $982,500 $1,122,500 (-12.5%) $1,082,500 (-9.2%)
Average Price $1,085,210 $1,127,420 (-3.7%) $1,092,580 (-0.7%)
No. of Sales 24 28 (-14.3%) 26 (-7.7%)
Pending Properties 12 31 (-61.3%) 21 (-42.9%)
Active 23 35 (-34.3%) 37 (-37.8%)
Sale vs. List Price 96.4% 98.9% (-2.5%) 97.5% (-1.1%)
Days on Market 52 37 (+42.1%) 38 (+39.7%)

What’s happening? Why this contradiction between the market barometer and pricing?   First, the days on market reflect the inventory which recently sold, not the inventory which is available today.  This tells us that many homes that have been on the market awhile are now being purchased. (Probably others went off the market for the holidays, which is typical for the season.) (more…)

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Should you buy or sell a Silicon Valley home in fixer condition?

Thursday, January 26th, 2012

Home Sweet HomeWhich is better: buying or selling a home in “fixer upper” condition, or aiming at “turnkey”?   In Silicon Valley today we are experiencing a shortage of good inventory. Home sellers may be tempted to market their home without preparing it well.  Buyers may feel that they will get a better deal if they purchase something that needs some work. What is really in your best interests?

Silicon Valley home buyers decide: bargain price and do the work, or turnkey and pay a premium?

Often it’s not a black and white choice of extremes between a “total fixer” and a “completely remodeled” home, but often there’s a basic stance that Silicon Valley home buyers must take: am I searching for turnkey or something that needs work? And if it needs work, how much am I willing to do?

A deep discount will be had on properties which are “all original”.  The question, though, is whether or not it will be worth the effort and cost to go through the trouble of extensive repairs and thorough remodeling.  Often the biggest projects are more profitably taken over by contractors – and even then it may not be profitable in the long run. Last summer I sold an original condition home to a contractor who remodeled and sold it.  The contractor did a lot of remodeling and sold the property a few months later for about 18% more than he paid for it.  When you consider the costs of buying and selling (8-10%), the cost of the remodeling (probably another 8-10% of the purchase price if you include the value of his labor), I’m not sure he really make much money.  For his sake I hope so.  For consumers, though, not contractors, it’s even harder to break even with huge remodels if you want to sell anytime soon.  What you do, do for the long run and for yourself – not because it will make you money!

At the same time, buyers need to be careful of homes which have been flipped by investors for a quick profit: they may have simply done the most visible work, leaving undone items which still need addressing, such as pipes, foundations, or structural items.

A few questions to ask yourself if you want to do a massive remodeling job (and buy a fixer upper):

  • Do I have the time to oversee the work?
  • Am I knowledgeable about construction? Or do I have time to research and learn prior to doing it?
  • Can I do what I need and still put aside an allowance of 20% for non budgeted surprises?

For most buyers, changing paint, carpet, windows, appliances or counter tops is a big enough assignment. Rearranging floor plans and expanding a house is going to be too much work, cost, liability and stress for most.

Repair and staging advice for Silicon Valley home sellers

For most people who are selling Silicon Valley real estate, the house, townhouse or condo they are about to put on the market is the single largest asset they own. For this reason, maximizing the return on investment is extremely important. Most sellers avow that they want top dollar for their home.  Many, in the next breath, say “I want to sell As Is and I don’t want to fix anything.” Those two, unfortunately, are mutually exclusive. (more…)

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What is PMI? Who needs PMI?

Wednesday, January 25th, 2012

What Is PMI?Many Silicon Valley home buyers rely on PMI, or Private Mortgage Insurance, to purchase a house or condo. But what is it and who needs it?

Private mortgage insurance is usually required with loans in which the buyer has less than a 20% down payment.

PMI does not protect you, the residential real estate consumer. It protects your lender in case you default!

FHA loans don’t have PMI but instead there is a “government guarantee” and for that you pay a premium – so not called PMI but it works similarly. The cost may range from 1 – 2.5%.

FHA or Conventional with PMI?

If you have less than 5% down, FHA will be your only option. But between 5 and 20% down, you may choose.

If you are trying to decide between FHA and conventional loan products with PMI, talk to you mortgage broker or banker to see which one really costs more in the long run, factoring in the total package of interest rates, premium rate etc. (FHA loans may come at a lower interest rate but with other added costs – so don’t just compare interest rates.)  The result may depend on the loan to value of the property, your credit score, and other factors. There don’t seem to be any “easy answers” as to which one is necessarily better.  This decision will require a little research!

If you expect to be bidding in multiple offers, this is another consideration too – it can be very hard for home buyers in the South Bay to win out in multiples if they are using FHA financing (as opposed to conventional).

Finally, like HOA dues, PMI is not something you can usually deduct from your income taxes (unless the PMI cost was simply rolled into your interest rate).  Please talk to your lender and tax professional for more information on PMI and the tax ramifications.

Related reading:

Is your lender pushing you into an FHA loan?

The challenge of being an FHA home buyer in a seller’s market

First Time Home Buyer with FHA Financing? Make Sure That Your Offer is Well Drafted!

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Real Estate Purchase Contract: Better to Pick a Close of Escrow Date or Number of Days to Closing From Acceptance?

Saturday, January 21st, 2012

Closing date or number of days to closing?Silicon Valley home buyers (and sellers) are faced with a myriad of questions and choices when completing or reviewing residential real estate contracts to purchase the property.  One of them, early on, is whether or not a particular day is chosen for closing escrow or if instead it’s a number of days from contract formation (acceptance) to closing.

Which is better?

The are pros and cons to each approach, of course.  Many buyers want to be able to plan, without any ambiguity, when they will move in to their new home.  (For some this can be a matter of feng shui, astrology or a sense that some days are more fortuitous than others.)  This can work if negotiations are not protracted.

With distressed sales, though – bank owned properties (REOs) and short sales – and sometimes with multiple offers, the negotiations time frame can be hard to predict and if you pick one particular date, you may well have to change it later or find that you don’t really have enough time because a week or more gotten “eaten up” with counter offers, waiting for a bank or seller to respond or other delays. In those cases you may want to have the flexibility of writing in the length of escrow (number of days) rather than picking a certain date.

As always, talk with your professional real estate licensee for guidance as each case may be different.

 

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Santa Clara County, San Jose, median sales price statistics year over year 2011 – 2010

Tuesday, January 17th, 2012

The annual market report is out at popehandy.REReport.com and we can now learn how 2011 compared to 2010.  The median sales price for houses in Santa Clara County was off 5.3% overall.  But from one part of the valley to the next it varied wildly with 6 cities or areas finding themselves in positive territory while others were off by double digits.

Santa Clara Coutny Cities median SP year over year 2011 to 2010In the image to the left, I’ve put into bold the cities where the median sales price of houses which sold and closed escrow in 2011 were ahead of 2010′s pricing.

What is it that makes Gilroy, Los Altos Hills, Los Gatos, Mountain View and Palo Alto “in the black”?

Most of these cities/towns are upscale, west valley communities.  But so are Saratoga, Cupertino, and Monte Sereno.

Gilroy was especially hard-hit with the housing downturn so perhaps in that case, it’s just coming back into more of a balance. (Then again, so was Morgan Hill and it’s still off by 12%.)

The LinkedIn IPO and others in the Palo Alto area drove prices up for some parts of the housing market nearby and it’s likely that this explains the positive growth for Palo Alto, Mountain View, and Los Altos Hills.  That said, it would seem that Los Altos, and perhaps even Sunnyvale would have seen stronger numbers on the same account.  Perhaps school scores are the key driver here.

Los Gatos, Saratoga and Monte Sereno often behave somewhat similarly as they are adjacent to one another and often attract similar home buyers who want good schools, a nice downtown area nearby and scenic beauty with the hills.  The annual numbers show Monte Sereno down 6.7%, Saratoga down 2% but Los Gatos up 6.4%.  With Monte Sereno, there are very few sales each month and each year (only about 4,000 residents), so there can be a wider swing without it necessarily being accurate. Saratoga and Los Gatos each have about 30,000 people who call these areas home, though, so the data is much more helpful.  Saratoga and Los Gatos both have multiple school districts, views, homes with better proximity to “downtown” and more variables – I think we’d have to dig a lot deeper to learn why these two neighboring markets are so diverse.  We might also have to look at multiple years of data to see if Saratoga spiked while LG slumped to explain the difference. (more…)

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