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How’s the Saratoga California real estate market?

Orchard and Hills in Saratoga, California

Orchard and Hills in Saratoga, California

This is a fairly comprehensive article on the Saratoga real estate market that will include the live statistics from Altos Research for listed properties (not closed) in Saratoga CA 95070, the closed sale data from the RE Report for last month in Saratoga 95070, and the numbers I crunched for Saratoga – overall and by price point and high school district, since Saratoga has 3 different high school districts, each with an impact on home values.

First, let’s consider the months of inventory by price point and high school district that I crunched using MLSListings.com, our local multiple listing service provider.

The months of inventory is a reference to how fast homes would be absorbed into the market if sales continued at the same pace and no new inventory came onto the market. It’s often referred to as “the absorption rate” – and that can be months of inventory, weeks of inventory, or days of inventory. A “balanced” market is somewhere around 4-5 months for us, though the National Association of Realtors says that 6 months is balanced nationwide. Anything under 3 is a good seller’s market, and under 1 is like saying that homes are “flying off the market.”

(For comparison, please also see a similar article on the Live in Los Gatos blog for the town of Los Gatos – real estate market by price point and high school district.)

Here’s the chart for Saratoga – all price points, all school districts.

2A - Saratoga, CA, Real Estate Market Update

And for comparison, here’s the chart from last month:

2A - Saratoga, CA, Real Estate Market Update

This month the data is back to what’s been the norm as of late – a strong seller’s market with fairly low inventory. Just over 2 MOI looks very hot, but if you look at where the listings are and compare it to the sales you are able to see there is at least one big exception. We can tell that the highest price point, $5+ million, is a much slower buyer’s market, which is common, and the other price points are frequently even lower than the average. Because the inventory is so small, the data can be easily distorted, so it is helpful to look a little farther back for general trends and pricing. As always, each property is unique, so this chart is just a guide and finding the right price to list or offer requires closer inspection and is best done with the help of a qualified agent.

By comparing across school districts you can also see how different each area’s individual market can be. The overall MOI for different school districts this month ranges from 3.333 to 0.4. Small levels of inventory can create big data swings and make for less accurate charts, nevertheless, we can still spot trends if we know where to look.


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How is the Campbell real estate market?How is the Campbell real estate market? Here are the numbers, but what do those numbers mean? The sales vs list price remains well over 100%, all the way to 115.2% in February, and the average days on market are a low 11 days. Campbell is in a strong seller’s market.

Further down in this article, we’ll utilize the graphs from Altos Research, which uses list prices, and check out the trends in pricing by quartile in this zip code (meaning 4 groups based on the pricing tier from least to most expensive). Campbell condominiums and townhomes will be considered as well. And finally, a list of homes for sale in Campbell will be found at the bottom of the post.

First, here are some quick stats, care of my RE Report for Campbell:

What about the Campbell CA condo market?

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VintageHomeTour2018 - Historic Naglee Park Home Tour in San Jose

The historic Naglee Park Home Tour in San Jose will take place on Saturday April 21, 2018 from 10am to 4pm. Sponsored by the San Jose Woman’s Club, this is the seventh year of the annual tour. This year, proceeds go towards the renovation of the Women’s Club 1929 Spanish Revival Clubhouse.

Tours include access to seven homes along two adjacent blocks in Naglee Park, and shows off both their lovely living quarters and gardens. Visitors have the option of pre-ordering a lunch box, and wine and refreshments will be available at the Refreshment Garden. The tour also features a lecture and open-air market.

The SJWC does not have any information on their website as of yet, however the Eventbrite page, where you can purchase tickets, has details, as does the Facebook Event Page.

For tickets and information: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/sjwc-naglee-park-vintage-home-tour-tickets-42695715033


Historic Naglee Park Home Tour in San Jose was on the same date, April 21, back in 2012 for the 3rd annual tour.

Historic Naglee Park Home Tour in San Jose was on the same date, April 21, back in 2012 for the 3rd annual tour.

Sorry, but we couldn't find any results in the MLS that match the specified search criteria.


The Naglee Park neighborhood in downtown San Jose is one of the most charming and historic areas in Silicon Valley. Known for older, beautifully maintained and updated homes, it boasts an annual historic homes tour.

Located just east of San Jose State University, it is extremely convenient for those involved with the college or who work downtown.  Scenic Coyote Creek is its eastern boundary, Highway 280 the southern one, and E Santa Clara Street the northern edge of this community. This neighborhood is also close to the ever popular Happy Hollow Park and Zoo (which is in south San Jose, also along Coyote Creek).

Map of the Naglee Park neighborhood

 What are homes in Naglee Park like?

Houses and homes in Naglee Park are primarily older, with the most historic being constructed in 1890. The average year built is 1935 as some of the properties were put up as recently as 2014 – though that is very unusual.

Besides being older, often historic homes, what can we say about the Naglee Park homes? First, there are 859 single family homes there, plus 39 duplexes, plus other types of housing in the mix. So it is a good sized community.

Livable square footage in the single family homes ranges from a very modest 480 SF to an over sized 5007 SF of living space, with 1904 Sf being average. The average lot size is 6776 – pretty typical for most of San Jose, actually.

A variety of architectural styles can be found in Naglee Park, including Victorian, Craftsman, Mediterranean, and more. A few years ago, I had the pleasure of selling a house in Naglee Park which was a beautiful Italian-Mediterranean style with classic beauty.

Naglee Park home - S 14th StreetNaglee Park - Living RoomNaglee Park - Dining RoomNaglee Park - Milk Delivery Detail034 Naglee Park Doorknob Keyhole 750x400 - Naglee Park NeighborhoodNaglee Park - Patio and Fountain

What do homes cost in Naglee Park?

Right now, in early 2018, inventory is very low, and therefore our data is also low. In general, though expect to find homes selling for between $1 million and $2 million, but on the high end of that range in most cases.  (It could be less if the home was small and in great disrepair, or more if the home were huge and newly renovated or rebuilt.) If you want to purchase a turnkey home in Naglee Park, it would be good to budget a minimum of $1,500,000 for a smaller home, and understand that it could go for close to $2 million.

download 800x204 - Naglee Park Neighborhood

Neighborhood data gathered February 20th, 2018

Are there any concerns with living in Naglee Park?

Like any downtown area in a big city, this is a place where you do lock your doors at night and can expect to sometimes deal with people wandering through who don’t live there and may be down on their luck. With the university nearby, parking may be an issue for some parts of Naglee Park.  Coyote Creek does sometimes flood, but most of Naglee Park is not in a flood plain and was not too badly impacted by the floods in the winter of 2017. Ask most of the residents what they think, though, and they’ll tell you that the beauty and convenience of the neighborhood far outweigh any potential issues.


Read more – other downtown San Jose or central San Jose areas:

Buena Vista
Rose Garden

HTWebsite Banner2017Rev2 800x227 - Rose Garden Homes Tour in San Jose

Each autumn, the St. Martin of Tours School puts on a fabulous tour of lovely homes in San Jose’s Rose Garden neighborhood. While anyone driving through this central San Jose area can appreciate the diverse and beautiful architecture, often the best  features of these homes are found inside.

This year is the tour’s 22nd Anniversary! The homes tour is a large scale fundraising effort for the school. Tours are self-guided with hosts in each home ready to answer questions and share interesting historical facts and stories about the homes. On display will also be floral designs, artwork, and perhaps some treasures. The garden segment of the tour includes the Tea Garden, a spot to sit and enjoy complementary refreshments or a gourmet lunchbox (available to pre-order through October 6th with your tickets). The tour also features a boutique, where 100% of the proceeds will benefit St Martin of Tours School (credit cards accepted!) and a donation drawing.

Tour dates are Saturday, October 14th and Sunday, October 15th from 10am-4pm both days. No children under 12 are allowed on the tour. Come any time within the tour hours to begin, but note that it is recommended that visitors allot about 2 hours to view every home and the tour ends promptly at 4pm.

Tickets are available at the door, online, or through families in the school.

To read about the homes from last year’s tour, and to learn more about this year’s tour, and to purchase tickets, and more please visit the official Rose Garden Homes Tour website.

Get Tickets!


  1. 2 beds, 1 bath
    Home size: 880 sq ft
    Lot size: 4,930 sqft
  2. 3 beds, 2 baths
    Home size: 1,601 sq ft
    Lot size: 7,013 sqft
  3. 2 beds, 2 baths
    Home size: 1,497 sq ft
    Lot size: 2,417 sqft
  4. 3 beds, 2 baths
    Home size: 1,190 sq ft
    Lot size: 6,751 sqft
  5. 3 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 2,964 sq ft
    Lot size: 3,175 sqft
  6. 2 beds, 2 baths
    Home size: 1,076 sq ft
    Lot size: 5,998 sqft
  7. 1 bed, 1 bath
    Home size: 648 sq ft
    Lot size: 3,341 sqft
  8. 3 beds, 2 baths
    Home size: 1,075 sq ft
    Lot size: 5,052 sqft
  9. 4 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 2,255 sq ft
    Lot size: 10,450 sqft
  10. 4 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 1,740 sq ft

See all Real estate in the city of San Jose.
(all data current as of 3/18/2018)

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

One of the side roads off Rubino Circle in The WillowsWillow Glen is one of the most charming areas of San Jose, consisting of many older homes which feature lovely, classic architecture. Most Silicon Valley home buyers treasure the Willow Glen charm and ambiance, but many are seeking newer homes. A fabulous option is “The Willows“.

KB Homes built “The Willows” in 1999 to 2000. It is tucked away at the southernmost tip of Willow Glen, off of Foxworthy Avenue & close to Almaden Expressway, but only about 2.5 to 3 miles from all the action on Lincoln Avenue.

One of the central courts off Rubino Circle in The WillowsThe tree-lined streets are built in something of a loop shape with Rubino Circle being the main access or loop road. Situated on the inner part of the loop are homes with smaller lots that are a little more affordable. The outer part of the circle is built with slightly larger homes on larger lots (but none of the lots are “big”). Sidewalks with soft curbs at the corners accompany the streets and make for a pedestrian-friendly, bike, wheelchair or stroller friendly area. Visit in the early evenings and you will see children and adults walking, strolling, taking dogs for a walk etc. – always a good sign! Because the neighborhood is a bit like an oversized cul-de-sac (no through traffic), it is very quiet in terms of traffic. The area has large street lights, too, making for a safe feeling community.
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el-sombroso-and-blossom-hill-from-vasona-parkWhat makes an expensive house in the San Jose area more than just a pricey bit of real estate, but instead a Silicon Valley luxury home? How is high end real estate different from the rest of the market? When is a property not just a home with land, but an estate?

In other parts of the U.S., spending $1,200,000 may fetch a 4000 square foot home, new construction, in an upscale gated community with country club amenities such as a golf course, tennis courts, and more. Here, that same $1,200,000 will procure an entry to mid-level single family home in many parts of Santa Clara County. It won’t necessarily be a Silicon Valley luxury home.

Luxury connotes a combination of qualities, features, and amenities. And it includes pricing (relative to the nearby market), condition, land, design.

Pricing Luxury Homes in Silicon Valley: What Do They Cost?

Expensive Silicon Valley homes are not necessarily luxury homes. Depending on the city or town, the price tag could be higher or lower. For instance, a fabulous house on a large lot in Gilroy’s Eagle Ridge might sell for 1/3 as much as the identical type of home, land and neighborhood found in Saratoga, Monte Sereno, or Los Gatos, or Los Altos, if a similar home happened to be available. Generally, though, luxury homes could cost as little as $1,000,000 or so in some parts of Silicon Valley or in neighboring counties, but in most parts of Silicon Valley, a true estate type property will be valued at $2,000,000 or $3,000,000 or more.  In some areas, such as Palo Alto, that $2 million doesn’t go too far and the home you can purchase at that price tag may need major updating – or it could be “land value”.  For our purposes today, we’ll use $2 million as the bottom number for estate properties, but it may or may not be the case in some areas.

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How's The Luxury Home Market?Luxury home sales are going like crazy in the west valley areas of Santa Clara County. Right now in Almaden Valley, Los Gatos, Monte Sereno and Saratoga, there are 105 houses for sale listed at or more than two million dollars (just checked MLSListings.com), and in the last 30 days 56 have sold and closed escrow in those same areas and price ranges. For the Almaden – Saratoga region generally, then, there are 1.88 months of inventory in the over two million dollar price range (105/56). That makes it a strong seller’s market. Things have certainly livened up a lot since October. (In the same region, there are 25 pending sales.)

Next we’ll look at these four Silicon Valley communities separately to see how the luxury market in each one is faring overall.

Almaden Valley (San Jose, 95120)

Currently in Almaden there are 9 houses for sale which are listed at or over $2,000,000.  In the last 30 days, 8 sold in that price range (with two sales pending). That makes for just over 1.13 “months of inventory.” That would mean this luxury market has rapid turnover and is in a strong seller’s market. It’s a deep seller’s market in Almaden Valley among the most expensive real estate offerings for sale. Five to six months is balanced and over six is a buyer’s market. Continue reading

With fabulous views, exceptionally high ranking schools and beautiful newer construction, the Graystone and Pfeiffer Ranch neighborhoods in San Jose’s Almaden Valley are perennially desirable.

Recently I was in the neighborhood and took a couple of photos which feature Mt. Umunhum.

Pfeiffer Ranch and Graystone area in Almaden


And one more:

View from Graystone and Pfeiffer Ranch area of Almaden Valley in San Jose, CA (photo by Mary Pope-Handy)

The neighborhood also enjoys a park along the creek with a playground to enjoy on days with better weather.

Not sure if you’ve been to this scenic part of San Jose’s Almaden Valley?  Here’s where to find it (this is where I took today’s pictures):

View Larger Map

Current listings in Graystone:

Sorry, but we couldn't find any results in the MLS that match the specified search criteria.

Current listings in Almaden Valley:

  1. 3 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 2,964 sq ft
    Lot size: 3,175 sqft
  2. 5 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 3,347 sq ft
    Lot size: 8,093 sqft
  3. 4 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 1,602 sq ft
    Lot size: 1,659 sqft
  4. 4 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 3,109 sq ft
    Lot size: 10,528 sqft
  5. 3 beds, 2 baths
    Home size: 1,381 sq ft
    Lot size: 6,320 sqft
  6. 5 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 2,924 sq ft
    Lot size: 8,184 sqft
  7. 5 beds, 4 baths
    Home size: 2,970 sq ft
    Lot size: 8,062 sqft
  8. 6 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 3,120 sq ft
    Lot size: 2.34 ac
  9. 4 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 2,717 sq ft
    Lot size: 13,102 sqft
  10. 4 beds, 2 baths
    Home size: 2,453 sq ft
    Lot size: 13,947 sqft

See all Real estate in the Almaden Valley community.
(all data current as of 3/18/2018)

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

Almaden Valley in San Jose is comprised of many neighborhoods and subdivisions. One of them, close to the border with Los Gatos and Cambrian Park, is particularly popular: the Oak Canyon neighborhood.

There are many reasons for its draw among Silicon Valley home buyers: the houses were well built by Shea Homes in about 1980, so they are relatively newer by Silicon Valley standards. They’re larger homes on comfortable lots, often 8000 sf or so but some as small as 6500 sf and others larger than a quarter acre in the Oak Canyon corner of Almaden.

Most of the homes boast a 3 car garage, which is a big help with storage of stuff, if not storage of cars. The roads gently turn, which makes a more pleasing look. It’s a very “conforming” neighborhood where everyone keeps up the homes and yards. Much of Almaden is viewed by consumers as somewhat remote, but this section, near the mouth of Almaden, is not too deep into the valley and is a better commute location for most. One of the largest pulls for the area, though, is the nearby elementary school, Guadalupe School, which has API scores in the 900s.

Oak Canyon Drive, San Jose, CA 95120 - a neighborhood in the Almaden ValleyOak Canyon Dr in San JoseOak Canyon neighborhood homeOak Canyon streetOak Canyon 2 story houseOak Canyon home with 3 car garageOak Canyon street along the Guadalupe CreekThis floor plan in Oak Canyon boasts a master bedroom suite with balcony.  Many of these properties face the hills.An Oak Canyon house with a welcoming front porch.

Where is the Oak Canyon neighborhood in Almaden Valley, San Jose?

Oak Canyon is found near the intersection of Camden Avenue and Coleman Road in San Jose but is bordered by Coleman on one side and the Guadalue Creek on the other sides. (The far side of the Guadalupe Creek at this point is Cambrian Park.)  Just the other side of Coleman Road is the Montevideo neighborhood, and next to that is the Almaden Meadows neighborhood.


And to provide some bearings, here’s a map of the Almaden Valley district of San Jose generally:

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Mary Pope-Handy
Sereno Group Real Estate
214 Los Gatos-Saratoga Rd
Los Gatos, CA 95030
408 204-7673
Mary (at) PopeHandy.com
License# 01153805

Selling homes in
Silicon Valley:
Santa Clara County,
San Mateo County, and
Santa Cruz County.
Special focus on:
San Jose, Los Gatos,
Saratoga, Campbell,
Almaden Valley,
Cambrian Park.
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Top 25 real estate blogs 2016
2016: Personal Income's list of top 25 real estate blogs.

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2009: Sellsius list of top
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Mary Pope-Handy's Live in Los Gatos blog won the 2007 Project Blogger contest, sponsored by Inman News and Active Rain

2007: Mary Pope-Handy and Frances Flynn Thorsen win the Project Blogger Contest for Mary's Live in Los Gatos blog. The contest was sponsored by
Active Rain and Inman News.

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Best real estate agent in Silicon Valley from the San Jose Mercury News poll of readers in 2011
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