The annual market report is out at popehandy.REReport.com and we can now learn how 2011 compared to 2010.  The median sales price for houses in Santa Clara County was off 5.3% overall.  But from one part of the valley to the next it varied wildly with 6 cities or areas finding themselves in positive territory while others were off by double digits.

In the image to the left, I’ve put into bold the cities where the median sales price of houses which sold and closed escrow in 2011 were ahead of 2010′s pricing.

What is it that makes Gilroy, Los Altos Hills, Los Gatos, Mountain View and Palo Alto “in the black”?

Most of these cities/towns are upscale, west valley communities.  But so are Saratoga, Cupertino, and Monte Sereno.

Gilroy was especially hard-hit with the housing downturn so perhaps in that case, it’s just coming back into more of a balance. (Then again, so was Morgan Hill and it’s still off by 12%.)

The LinkedIn IPO and others in the Palo Alto area drove prices up for some parts of the housing market nearby and it’s likely that this explains the positive growth for Palo Alto, Mountain View, and Los Altos Hills.  That said, it would seem that Los Altos, and perhaps even Sunnyvale would have seen stronger numbers on the same account.  Perhaps school scores are the key driver here.

Los Gatos, Saratoga and Monte Sereno often behave somewhat similarly as they are adjacent to one another and often attract similar home buyers who want good schools, a nice downtown area nearby and scenic beauty with the hills.  The annual numbers show Monte Sereno down 6.7%, Saratoga down 2% but Los Gatos up 6.4%.  With Monte Sereno, there are very few sales each month and each year (only about 4,000 residents), so there can be a wider swing without it necessarily being accurate. Saratoga and Los Gatos each have about 30,000 people who call these areas home, though, so the data is much more helpful.  Saratoga and Los Gatos both have multiple school districts, views, homes with better proximity to “downtown” and more variables – I think we’d have to dig a lot deeper to learn why these two neighboring markets are so diverse.  We might also have to look at multiple years of data to see if Saratoga spiked while LG slumped to explain the difference.

Coming in at last place: the Santa Cruz Mountains or Los Gatos Mountains area (zip code 95033), where the median list price of houses sold slipped 17% from the year before.  This beautifully scenic region covers a lot of territory and several quite different neighborhoods, some more convenient and others more remote.  It often takes much longer to sell a home in the mountains than on the valley floor but it can be a great “bang for your buck” for great schools, clean area, less crowding, etc.  The remoteness of some homes, the increased rain and other challenges generally make this part of the valley a more challenging real estate market most of the time, and in a down market that’s even more true.

Palo Alto, Mountain View and Los Altos each have regions which can be tracked in addition to the cities as a whole. If you’d like to see these numbers, please visit http://popehandy.rereport.com and then click on Yearly, then select the city, then the neighborhood and you can see how Baron Park or other areas are faring in particular (also for their monthly or quartly reports).

Areas within San Jose, like PA, MV and LA, can be tracked. Since I am very active in several of them (Almaden Valley, Cambrian Park, Willow Glen, Blossom Valley and others on the west side), I want to share those next.

The median sales price of houses which sold & closed in 2011 in the City of San Jose was down 5.9%, lower than the county as a whole.  Most of San Jose was worse off than the prior year – all except Alviso!

Alviso, which was a separate town until not so long ago, sold with a double digit increase in the median sales price – a whopping 10.6% higher than in 2010.  Affordability and investor activity are most likely the cause – more demand and less inventory than the year before. (I suspect either fewer distressed properties or that they were gobbled up quickly. Knowing would require more research.)

Downtown or central San Jose took a beating with the median sales price down 9.6%.  Why did it fall from grace?  Not everything in this area is affordable – consider that it includes Naglee Park, The Rosegarden, and a few other tony areas. I suspect it’s the number of foreclosures (REOs) and short sales but I don’t have that information at hand.  It would require a much closer look that our brief survey here to uncover what’s happening.  (We know that there are many unsold, new condos in downtown San Jose but those should not be impacting the sales of single family homes.)

In future articles or posts I hope to look at a few of these areas more carefully to see what is causing the great diversity between the areas showing improvement over 2010 such as Alviso, Palo Alto, Gilroy, Los Altos Hills, Los Gatos and Mountain View versus those which are really hurting: downtown San Jose, the Los Gatos Mountains, Evergreen, Morgan Hill, Milpitas.  Very likely it’s a combination of the distressed market activity in some areas, school scores, the pricing tier (i.e., homes between 1 and 2 million near Palo Alto) and more factors.  With real estate, it’s always local – and that’s just the starting point.

How’s the Almaden Valley real estate market?   Prices appear to  have been rising, but slipped some this last month. There’s not much inventory in this part of the valley so it remains a seller’s market, incredibly. A  fairly nice 4 bed, 2 bath house in most parts of the San Jose 95120 zip code will still cost about a million dollars (more if it’s in the best areas with best schools and best condition).  A smaller 3-4 bedroom townhouse with good schools will be about half that much unless it’s really young and highly upgraded.

Average Days on Market  & Sale to List Price Ratio for Almaden Valley (San Jose, CA 95120) houses in 2011:

Number of Homes For Sale vs Sold for Almaden Houses on the Market

Date is between Jan 2011 and Dec 2011

Property Sub Class is ‘Single Family Residential’

Area AreaIdName is ’13 Almaden Valley’

Results calculated from approximately 570 listings

Listings by Price Range

Date is between Feb 2011 and Jan 2012

Property Sub Class is ‘Single Family Residential’

Area AreaIdName is ’13 Almaden Valley’

Results calculated from approximately 470 listings

Sales by price range

Date is between Jan 2011 and Dec 2011

Property Sub Class is ‘Single Family Residential’

Area AreaIdName is ’13 Almaden Valley’

Results calculated from approximately 320 listings

For more info please see my Almaden Valley real estate report.

Houses, sales, pendings, prices in San Jose 95120 for November 2011 – note that they are down month over month and year over year BUT if you go back to October, they were way, way up (double digit). It’s helpful to have the “big picture” and not focus on just a small amount of data. Reviewing several months in a row we see some ups, some down – mostly down (in single or double digits) but when up, it was way up (20-40%). No easy answers here.

Trends At a Glance	Nov 2011	Previous Month	Year-over Year
Median Price	$935,000	$1,075,000 (-13.0%)	$950,000 (-1.6%)
Average Price	$1,007,750	$1,144,880 (-12.0%)	$1,123,800 (-10.3%)
No. of Sales	19	27 (-29.6%)	21 (-9.5%)
Pending Properties	31	35 (-11.4%)	45 (-31.1%)
Active	55	68 (-19.1%)	93 (-40.9%)
Sale vs. List Price	98.8%	97.0% (+1.9%)	97.5% (+1.3%)
Days on Market	47	52 (-8.7%)	40 (+18.2%)

Numbers for October – notice the big jump from September in pricing!

Trends At a Glance	Oct 2011	Previous Month	Year-over Year
Median Price	$1,075,000	$822,000 (+30.8%)	$885,000 (+21.5%)
Average Price	$1,144,880	$815,646 (+40.4%)	$910,012 (+25.8%)
No. of Sales	27	24 (+12.5%)	22 (+22.7%)
Pending Properties	35	42 (-16.7%)	41 (-14.6%)
Active	68	67 (+1.5%)	111 (-38.7%)
Sale vs. List Price	97.0%	95.6% (+1.4%)	97.4% (-0.5%)
Days on Market	52	46 (+13.6%)	36 (+42.2%)

The list price to sales price ratio moved up but days on market and number of pendings were off from the month prior – though not year over year. Compared to a year ago, prices are up and all is rosier except the days on market. Buyers may be having trouble adjusting to the rising prices in Almaden.

Trends At a Glance	Sep 2011	Previous Month	Year-over Year
Median Price	$822,000	$835,000 (-1.6%)	$931,000 (-11.7%)
Average Price	$815,646	$868,909 (-6.1%)	$967,599 (-15.7%)
No. of Sales	24	39 (-38.5%)	27 (-11.1%)
Pending Properties	42	37 (+13.5%)	34 (+23.5%)
Active	67	83 (-19.3%)	124 (-46.0%)
Sale vs. List Price	95.6%	97.1% (-1.6%)	98.3% (-2.8%)
Days on Market	46	62 (-26.4%)	37 (+24.1%)

And August:

Trends At a Glance	Aug 2011	Previous Month	Year-over Year
Median Price	$835,000	$926,000 (-9.8%)	$932,500 (-10.5%)
Average Price	$868,909	$1,038,120 (-16.3%)	$997,688 (-12.9%)
No. of Sales	39	20 (+95.0%)	32 (+21.9%)
Pending Properties	37	53 (-30.2%)	46 (-19.6%)
Active	83	93 (-10.8%)	121 (-31.4%)
Sale vs. List Price	97.1%	97.0% (+0.2%)	99.0% (-1.9%)
Days on Market	62	65 (-5.7%)	36 (+70.9%)

CONDOS

Next the Almaden Valley condo market.  It’s improved over last month!  Some quick stats:
Sales fell 0.0% from the month before, and were up 200.0% year-over-year.  Prices improved in Sep 2011 with the median price climbing 11.6% from the previous month, down 23% compared to last year. The average price rose 22.9%, a yearly loss of 15.7%.  Inventory fell 0.0% from last month, and was down 23.8% year-over-year.

Trends At a Glance	Nov 2011	Previous Month	Year-over Year
Median Price	$577,000	$495,000 (+16.6%)	$620,000 (-6.9%)
Average Price	$577,000	$498,333 (+15.8%)	$620,000 (-6.9%)
No. of Sales	2	3 (-33.3%)	2 (0.0%)
Pending Properties	3	3 (0.0%)	3 (0.0%)
Active	11	11 (0.0%)	16 (-31.3%)
Sale vs. List Price	97.5%	98.4% (-1.0%)	95.6% (+1.9%)
Days on Market	118	93 (+25.9%)	34 (+250.8%)

October:

Trends At a Glance	Oct 2011	Previous Month	Year-over Year
Median Price	$495,000	$512,000 (-3.3%)	$683,000 (-27.5%)
Average Price	$498,333	$560,667 (-11.1%)	$715,250 (-30.3%)
No. of Sales	3	3 (0.0%)	4 (-25.0%)
Pending Properties	3	4 (-25.0%)	2 (+50.0%)
Active	11	12 (-8.3%)	15 (-26.7%)
Sale vs. List Price	98.4%	98.0% (+0.4%)	95.4% (+3.2%)
Days on Market	93	67 (+40.0%)	40 (+134.8%)

September:

Trends At a Glance	Sep 2011	Previous Month	Year-over Year
Median Price	$512,000	$458,900 (+11.6%)	$665,000 (-23.0%)
Average Price	$560,667	$456,300 (+22.9%)	$665,000 (-15.7%)
No. of Sales	3	3 (0.0%)	1 (+200.0%)
Pending Properties	4	5 (-20.0%)	7 (-42.9%)
Active	12	11 (+9.1%)	14 (-14.3%)
Sale vs. List Price	98.0%	97.3% (+0.7%)	95.3% (+2.8%)
Days on Market	67	91 (-27.0%)	25 (+166.7%)

And for August:

Trends At a Glance	Aug 2011	Previous Month	Year-over Year
Median Price	$458,900	$565,000 (-18.8%)	$635,000 (-27.7%)
Average Price	$456,300	$555,200 (-17.8%)	$635,000 (-28.1%)
No. of Sales	3	5 (-40.0%)	2 (+50.0%)
Pending Properties	5	5 (0.0%)	3 (+66.7%)
Active	11	13 (-15.4%)	16 (-31.3%)
Sale vs. List Price	97.3%	98.1% (-0.9%)	98.4% (-1.1%)
Days on Market	91	103 (-11.7%)	7 (+1,121.0%)

Next let’s have a multi year look at the Almaden Valley real estate market.  Below please notice the supply & demand graph going back to late 2007. Although it’s been a “wild ride”, you can see a very clear pattern emerge that around December or January of eacy year, inventory falls (the dark gray line) and relative to the months just before or after, these tend to be “better” for sellers. What’s happening?  The available supply of homes tends to diminish over the holidays.  Prices are perhaps softer than at other times of the year.  Buyers who need to buy, do buy.  The odds of selling are actually higher, in many cases, during this time of year than others!

Here are a few quick stats from Altos Research (which will be automatically updated weekly and to which I have a subscription) – these are based on the list price of townhouses, condominiums and houses for sale in San Jose’s Almaden Valley 95120 area:

90-day stats for Single Family properties in SAN JOSE, CA95120 as of October 7, 2011
Median List Price:	$927,953	Average List Price:	$1,056,795
Total Inventory:	129	Price per Square Foot:	$405
Average Home Size:	2,414	Median Lot Size:	8,580
Average # Beds:	4.04	Average # Baths:	2.72
Homes Absorbed:	11	Newly Listed:	8
Days on Market:	113	Average Age:	36

90-day stats for Condo properties in SAN JOSE, CA95120 as of October 7, 2011
Median List Price:	$606,104	Average List Price:	$637,011
Total Inventory:	17	Price per Square Foot:	$365
Average Home Size:	1,674	Median Lot Size:	n/a
Average # Beds:	2.79	Average # Baths:	2.34
Homes Absorbed:	1	Newly Listed:	1
Days on Market:	178	Average Age:	26

The residential real estate market in San Jose’s Almaden Valley area was a “hot seller’s market” early this year due to more demand than supply but it is cooling slightly now, which will be a great relief to frustrated home buyers, but it has not been giving them the big influx of inventory they’d like to see.

How is the Williams Elementary School area of San Jose’s Almaden Valley 95120 doing in terms of the real estate market? Today we’ll look at the Williams area as compared to Almaden as a whole to see. First, the basic realty trends and stats for this nice section of Silicon Valley side by side for this year only (I pulled and crunched all of this data from MLSListings.com myself tonight, “deemed reliable but not guaranteed”):

1. Comparison of the average price per square foot for all of Almaden (including the Williams area) with just the Williams area of 95120:

While there is some fluctuation from one status to the next, at the end of the day there’s one number that matters the most, and that’s what actually sold and closed.  In the Williams area, homes have sold at an average of $418 per square foot while in Almaden generally (including this area), the price is $399 per square foot – about 5% less. This is tremendously important to understand if you are trying to purchase a home in the Williams area – homes there do, in fact, sell for more than in most parts (perhaps all parts) of the Almaden Valley.

Next, the stats for just the Williams area followed by the stats for all of 95120.

2. Real estate market statistics for Williams area of Almaden year to date by status:

3. Real estate in Almaden (San Jose 95120) as a whole (including Williams neighborhood):

4. Some graphs on the market in these two areas of San Jose 95120:

All Almaden - average sales price per month

And next, just the Williams area within 95120:

Average sales price per month in Williams School area of Almaden

Days to sell (days on market prior to going under contract) in Almaden…

Almaden (all) days to sell over time

Same data but just for the Williams Elementary School neighborhood in San Jose:

Wiiliams area of Almaden: days to sell over time

Supply and demand -  San Jose 95120 homes for sale and homes sold each month:

All Almaden homes for sale vs sold

Next, supply and demand in just the Williams area (most months, the ratios are tighter in Williams):

Williams neighborhood - homes for sale vs sold (supply demand)

New listings – first, all of Almaden (buyers will be interested in seeing the price spread):

Almaden listings by price range each month

Wms area price spread – it’s a smaller neighborhood with fewer inexpensive, and more expensive, properties:

Listings by price range in Williams area of Almaden Valley (San Jose 95120)

Months of inventory for San Jose 95120 (Almaden Valley or Almaden area) – six months is considered “balanced”, less a sellers market and more a buyers market.  It’s been pretty good in this corner of Silicon Valley, as you can see, except for the worst of the market in 2008-09 especially.

Months of inventory for all of San Jose 95120

Next, same info but just in the Williams subset of the Almaden market:

Months of inventory in Williams area

Note that the market in the Williams area has been a little harder hit than Almaden as a whole for the months of inventory. Why is that? My hunch is that it’s a couple of things: first and foremost, these homes are more expensive. The typical 4 bed, 2 bath home is about $1 million in Almaden generally but about $1,150,000 in the areas with the best schools, including Williams and Graystone.  The more expensive homes have been challenged by the financing regulations – these are not FHA homes and require a lot of cash down. Many would be move up buyers are stuck due to lack of equity.  A secondary reason may be the further commute.  Many buyers are more frugal now that gas is hovering near $4 a gallon.  Whatever the cause, these premier homes are not selling as well as many of their owners would like to expect.

List price to sales price ratio Almaden

And finally the same list to sales price ratio just in Williams:

Sale to List Price Ratio in Williams area of Almaden

I hope you’ve found this information and analysis helpful.  Whether you’re buying or selling, it’s very helpful to know the local market.  These types of posts do take a lot of time to produce, so I don’t do them so extensively so often, but I can do this type of thing for my clients. If you are looking for a Realtor who’s committed to giving you top grade information so that you can be best informed, please call or email me. I’d love to have the chance to chat with you and see if we might be able to work together on your next purchase or sale in Almaden or anywhere in Santa Clara County.

mary (at) popehandy (dot) com

Related reading:

Schools, API Scores & Maps of School Boundaries in San Jose’s Almaden Valley

The RE Report for Almaden Valley (updated monthly, stats also quarterly and annually going back 10+ years)

Lately I’ve been spending a lot of time in San Jose’s Almaden Valley neighborhood.  On one side of Almaden the Santa Teresa Foothills rest and on the other, the coastal range or Santa Cruz Mountains.  This view was taken in a more southern part of the area with a great view of Mt. Umunhum. So pretty!

Almaden Valley in San Jose (95120) - view of Mt. Umunhum and Santa Cruz Mountains

The mercury mines (not one, but a network of them) aren’t far from here in the hills around New Almaden, the Calero Reservoir and Guadalupe Creek (which is about 4.5 miles west of the New Almaden Mine). All very scenic!

If you arrived into Silicon Valley via Highway 101, driving south from San Francisco, you might believe that the Santa Clara Valley, the San Jose area and Silicon Valley as a whole has got to seem to be the ugliest place on earth. Although heavily traveled, that is not the “scenic route”.

So, too, if you are looking for a place to live and are groping to find a place that is reasonably priced, fairly safe and not a terrible commute distance. You might not even have “is nice looking” on your wish list. You might not think it’s possible if all you ever see are the ugly concrete tilt-up buildings in north San Jose, Santa Clara, Alviso, or anywhere along the 237 corridor.  That area is an architectural wasteland.

Let me assure you: there are a lot of beautiful places in Silicon Valley where you can rent or buy a home. But how do you find them? It helps a lot to have a local give you a few pointers.  I’ll give you some tips today on finding a scenic place to live.

Hills – An easy way to find a scenic location to make your home is to settle near the hills, especially those in the west valley (the Santa Cruz Mountains or the Coastal Range) as they are green year-round. Communities at the base of the west valley foothills include, in Santa Clara County, Palo Alto, Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Cupertino, Saratoga, Monte Sereno, Los Gatos, and the Almaden Valley area of San Jose. All of these areas are adjacent to the hills or mountains and offer far better than average schools (many of them qualify as great – compare costs between these areas).

Of course, if you go into the hills instead of just being near the base of them, there will be valley views as well.  If you go to the summit area of the Santa Cruz Mountains, you could really luck out and get a 360 degree view of the Monterey Bay on one side and the valley and San Francisco Bay on the other.  (But that would not likely be a short commute to most of Silicon Valley.)

In San Mateo County, there’s Menlo Park, Redwood City, Belmont, Hillsborough…most of these communities are more scenic as you go closer into the hills. Some even offer a view of the San Francisco Bay.

In the east foothills of San Jose, there are many lovely areas too. Among my favorite are the old section of Alum Rock (with beautiful Spanish style houses up near the country club), some of the rural areas of the Berryessa district in San Jose and the southern part of Evergreen (near Silver Creek and the Villages).

Other hills and knolls - the coastal range and east foothills aren’t the only areas with a higher elevation and views.  Think of the Santa Teresa Foothills Blossom Valley, Santa Teresa areas), Communication Hill (Blossom Valley, Willow Glen), or the occasional small little hill such as Lone Hill in the Cambrian district of San Jose.  You don’t have to get very high up to have a great view.  Look at the terrain maps for small elevations and check those areas out!

Waterways - In addition to the mountains, there are many scenic spots in Silicon Valley alongside rivers, creeks and streams.  When I was a newlywed (back in 1985), my husband and I lived alongside Stevens Creek – that is, the waterway, not the major road – in Sunnyvale.  The apartment complex had a number of units overlooking the creek and there were tons of trees providing a great, green view.  You can check out that apartment complex online – it’s called Brookside Oaks.

Back to the bayfront housing:  you can get waterfront homes in Redwood Shores and Foster City, which are on the north end of “Silicon Valley” on the Peninsula.  Many of those areas are on landfill, and although well compacted, that fill is sitting on old bay mud.  Some structures in those areas have had problem with an undue amount of movement.  Others have had salt water get to their foundations, which can cause the re-bar inside to rust (making the foundation far less strong).  Both communities are super clean and attractive (I have sold homes in both).

Not quite Silicon Valley, Santa Cruz does offer many really lovely places in which to live too – great views from many spots.  Adjacent to Neary’s Lagoon there are apartments, townhouses (some of which are for rent) and low income housing too.  It’s a very scenic part of Santa Cruz and just about a mile from the beach on foot.  A few high rise buildings, such as the condo complex on Broadway, feature views of the Santa Cruz Beach Boardwalk and the Monterey Bay.

Flatlands – not to worry if you strike out with the hills and waterways.  There are still many lovely areas in Silicon Valley that are not included in those areas.  One is the beautiful San Jose neighborhood known as The Rosegarden. It is centrally located, with a great wide open space at the park, and loads of lovely older homes with tons of character.

If you enjoy classic architecture, you might check out a few areas closer to downtown San Jose: Naglee Park, Vendome area and Japantown.

Outside of San Jose, there are scenic urban living or downtown areas in the Willow Glen part of San Jose, downtown Campbell, downtown Saratoga, downtown Los Gatos, downtown Mountain View, downtown Menlo Park, downtown San Mateo, downtown Los Altos and of course the great magnet of them all, downtown Palo Alto.

In some of these places, the downtown area is also right up against the hills – and that is truly beautiful!  (Think Los Gatos, Saratoga, Los Altos, Menlo Park.)  One nice townhome community in Saratoga has both green views within the complex, is right next to the coastal foothills and is just steps away from downtown Saratoga.  The area has top rated schools too.  If interested, check out Saratoga Oaks.) And don’t miss either Japantown or Santana Row for urban living!

Silicon Valley has a number of neighborhoods with great ambiance despite the absence of either hills or a quaint downtown.  Santa Clara’s “old quad” neighborhood (located near Santa Clara University) is just such a spot.

And, of course, there are spots in Santa Clara County with stunning golf courses, parks or heavily wooded or open areas that may not belong to the public but which create lovely vistas nonetheless.  A few orchards still dot Sunnyvale, San Jose, Saratoga and other parts of the valley. (New townhouses on Bersano Lane in Los Gatos are on a hill overlooking Lake Vasona. Beautiful views!)

For scenic senior housing, a retirement home or residential care facility for the elderly (which can mean independent living, assisted living, nursing or other), quite a few spots enjoy scenic views also:  Belmont Village in San Jose looks out over Santana Row on one side and the Winchester House on another; the Atrium in San Jose’s Blossom Valley has views of Mt. Umunhum; Saratoga Retirement Community enjoys a lovely campus but also is in among gently rolling hills and has a view of the Santa Cruz Mountains; the Villages in San Jose’s eastside community of Evergreen sits among lovely rolling hills and a golf course in the middle.

Many people relocating to the San Francisco Peninsula or the South Bay come from areas where homes cost half as much and seem to be twice as big, where there may not be so much congestion and where there is more open space.  We do have places like that, but it’s important to let whoever’s helping you know that this is important.    Whether you’re here to rent an apartment or purchase a townhouse or condo, it can be in a scenic place.  You just need to find them!

The Oaktree Park neighborhood in San Jose is a scenic residential community with wide appeal to home buyers due to good Almaden schools, close proximity to large parks and is one of only a few areas in Almaden Valley which includes a cabaña and swim team.  Additionally, this area is very convenient as it’s  close to schools, shops and commute routes to downtown San Jose and much of Silicon Valley. It is a fairly intimate neighborhood with 156 homes.

Where is the Oaktree Park neighborhood?

The Oaktree Park subdivision is within the boundaries of Meridian Avenue, Redmond Avenue and Mcabbe Road on three sides and the Jeffrey Fontana Park on the north side.

The census bureau (and perhaps also the city of San Jose) has attributed names to some parts of Almaden and this neighborhood falls into the Crossgates section.  I do not believe that most residents refer to this area that way, though.  Perhaps more likely they’d call it part of the greater Fontana Park neighborhood.

Oaktree Park Neighborhood in San Jose (Almaden Valley area of SJ) - click on image above to go to live Google Map

What schools serve the Oaktree Park neighborhood in San Jose?

The public schools for Oaktree Park are within the San Jose Unified School District:

Los Alamitos Elementary School (API 916 in 2010)
Castillero Middle School (API 806 in 2010)
Pioneer High School (API 823 in 2010)

Los Alamitos Elementary and Holy Spirit Elementary (Catholic) are both just a couple of blocks from Oaktree Park.  Additonally there are 2 preschools really close too:  Precious Preschool and Shepherd of the Valley Lutheran Preschool.

For more information and links for schools, school districts, API scores and maps of boundaries lines for schools in the Almaden area of San Jose, please also read:

Schools, API Scores & Maps of School Boundaries in San Jose’s Almaden Valley

What are homes like in Oaktree Park?

Homes in Oaktree Park are single family dwellings – all detached houses (no townhouses or condominiums).  These are primarily ranch style or two story ranch style houses, built in the early 1970s  on lots of about 8000 to 9000 square feet, though a few are more than that.  Interior size runs between about 1600 square feet to about 3000 square feet (if added on). Prices may be in the mid 600s for a smaller home, needing work and a less desirable location (such as on a busy road or immediately adjacent to the high voltage power lines that run through the park) to perhaps a little over a million dollars for a beautifully updated or rebuilt larger home in an ideal location within the neighborhood.

Oaktree Park Neighborhood fun: the cabaña, clubhouse, swim team and parks

The cabaña and community grounds are located on Crestoak Court (where a large oak tree did once stand).  The swim team, the Sharks, serve children up to age 18.

The HOA has a “welcome new neighbors” page with some great information on nearby amenities.

There’s a huge amount of open space and parkland adjacent to Oaktree Park, with both trails for walking, biking or rollerblading as well as expanses of lawn and natural open spaces which invite deer and other indigenous wildlife.  Nearby parks include the Jeffrey Fontana Park, the Guadalupe Oak Grove Park  just beyond that and the TJ Martin Park a little to the west of these two.  These three parks are connected and provide a fabulous network of trails.

Turnover is pretty low in this neighborhood as residents appreciate the access to the community pool, the parks, schools, shops and commute venues.  In many ways, this tidy little neighborhood offers the very best of Almaden: community, multiple reasons to be outdoors and a pretty location with lovely views.

Located close to the Guadalupe Creek and the foothills of the coastal mountain range, the Montevideo neighborhood enjoys tree lined streets and scenic green views of the hills.  Houses and yards are nicely kept. It is fairly convenient for commuting as it’s not too deeply into the San Jose area of Almaden Valley.  About 500 residents call this beautiful neighborhood home.

The Montevideo Neighborhood in the Almaden Valley area of San Jose

Shuffle board area of Montevideo cabana

In addition to the pleasant vistas, the Montevideo home owners and residents enjoy the cabaña, which includes a community pool, clubhouse, recreation grounds (shuffleboard, volleyball court and more), a fun swim team for kids.   There are very few cabañas in the west valley, so this is a big draw.

Adjacent is the very highly regarded Guadaulupe Elementary School, which can boast API scores in the 900s (it was 930 in the 2010 study).

Where is the Montevideo neighborhood located?

The Montevideo neighborhood is situated close to the intersection of Camden Avenue and Coleman Road (not quite to Redmond Avenue) in southwest San Jose (Almaden area, zip code 95120).  The development was built in two phases – the map below shows in a darker green the “Montevideo 2″ area.  The lighter area was the original Montevideo tract.

Map of the Montevideo neighborhood in San Jose's Almaden Valley - click on the image to go to the live map on Google

The Montevideo neighborhood is just across Coleman Road from the also-very-desirable Oak Canyon neighborhood of Almaden.

Which schools serve the Montevideo community?

The Montevideo area is part of the Union School District and the Campbell Union High School District.  (School API scores below can be found on the County List of Schools API Scores for 2009 – 2010 here.)  It should be noted that Union Schools have been “trending upward” for the last few years and that trend is not anticipated to change.

Elementary:  Guadalupe Elementary School – API 930

Middle:  Castillero Middle School – API 806

High School:  this is an “open area” and students here may attend either Leigh High School  – API 817 – or Branham High School – API 781 – (you can choose).

What are homes like in Montevideo? What do they cost?

Smaller Montevideo ranch style house

The Montevideo neighborhood was built by Schulte-Blackwell in the mid to late 1960s on land which used to be vineyards for the wine making endeavors of the Jesuit Novitiate in Los Gatos (the Society of Jesus, a Catholic religious order of priests and brothers).  The terrain is flat in most areas and gently rolling hilly areas in others.  Some of them have mountain or valley views.

The community is comprised of detached, single family homes, primarily ranch style or two story houses, with a few split level homes, featuring attached 2 car garages.   The smallest dwellings are around 1400 to 1600 square feet and the largest ones usually no more than 2600 or 2800 SF (unless they were added onto).  Most are situated on lots of about 8000 square feet, but some are a hair under 7000 on the small side or closer to 10,000 (with a few exceptions that are bigger) on the large side.

Purchasing real estate in Montevideo is usually a “move up” buy as prices run from the mid $700s (if small, distressed, or needing a lot of work) to the $800,000s on the low end up to the low $1 million price range on the high end, depending on many variables (size of home and yard, view, proximity to busier roads or the school, etc.).  Most of these are owner occupied and the neighborhood does display the pride of ownership which is apparent in many better neighborhoods.  (To read up on how to sell one property and buy another, please read my article on that topic on my popehandy.com website.)

The Montevideo Improvement Association has a blog where you can read more about the community, view the original brochures when the subdivision was created and the first homes sold,  find out about pool hours and renting the cabaña, and learn how to access the association documents if purchasing a home there. There aren’t a lot of updates on the blog but still the site has a wealth of general information.

What’s for sale in and near Montevideo now?

Below please find a map with properties for sale, listed on our local MLS, in Montevideo as well as some of the nearby areas such as Oak Canyon, Almaden Meadows and the TJ Martin Park area.  If you are interested in buying or selling a home in the Montevideo neighborhood or anywhere in or near Almaden, please contact me today!

Almaden Valley, which primarily consists of the 95120 zip code area of San Jose, is well known for its scenic beauty, great schools and low crime.

For people working in downtown San Jose, it is also fairly convenient – it’s almost a straight shot up either Almaden Expressway or Highway 87 to get into the downtown area, often just a 20 to 30 minute commute.

Within Silicon Valley, Almaden is regarded as a high-end neighborhood and very desirable. In this post we’ll discuss the geography of the valley, the advantages and disadvantages of being in Almaden, the public schools in 95120, the market conditions for the luxury homes there and finally you’ll be able to browse a list of luxury & estate homes for sale in the Amaden area of Silicon Valley.

The geography of the valley:

There are no shortage of hillside homes in this enclave of southwest San Jose. To the west lies the Santa Cruz Mountains, with the nearby peak of Mt. Umunhum looking over the valley. To the east sits the much lower and grassier Santa Teresa Foothills.  The oldest part of Almaden, ironically called New Almaden, is at the bottom of the v-shaped valley.  Continue further through the Cinnabar Hills and drive long enough and you’ll find yourself in Morgan Hill!

Advantages and Disadvantages:

One of the big advantages of purchasing a luxury home in San Jose’s Almaden Valley is that ordinarily you can get a little more “house for the money” then if you were purchasing similar real estate in Los Gatos, Monte Sereno or Saratoga (let alone Palo Alto or Los Altos).   Often, too, the homes are a little younger (though not always). In the southernmost tip, there’s quite a bit of equestrian property, too.  San Jose is a wonderful city for children, and one of the main drivers for people and families moving there is the quality of life for kids.  That makes San Jose real estate prized everywhere, but especially in this southwestern enclave.

One of the potential disadvantages is that like any small valley, it can heat up in summer and traffic can sometimes be a little more tangled. Luckily, though, luxury homes are virtually always air conditioned and there are many alternate routes, so these are not insurmountable issues.

Schools in Almaden

The public school situation needs a little bit of explaining as it tends to confuse most newcomers.  (Please find the 2010 API scores for Santa Clara County here.)

In the 95120 zip code, there are three different school districts at play, and the schools run from good to great:

• most of Almaden belongs to the San Jose Unified School District (which includes both elementary, middle and high schools)
• some of Almaden, though, belongs to the Union School District (elementary and middle schools) and the Campbell Union High School District (Montevideo, Oak Canyon & nearby neighborhoods)
• and a tiny sliver, including just a few streets close to Hicks Road, actually belong to the Los Gatos School District and the Los Gatos-Saratoga Union High School District

Within San Jose Unified, all the local elementary and middle schools are very good.  At the high school level, though, there’s a big difference between the API scores at Pioneer (823 in 2010) versus those at Leland High School (890).  So often, home buyers of high end housing will prefer a more southern location in Almaden to secure places at Leland.

How’s the market for high end homes in San Jose’s Almaden Valley 95120? San Jose Real Estate & The Almaden Market

(Read the state of San Jose real estate in Almaden in ALL price ranges via  my REReport  Almaden stats and market trends.)

Dynamic reports – next we’ll use Altos Research charts to look at the top 50% of homes for sale (the more expensive half) next.  These charts are dynamic so will always be current.

Prices of homes for sale among the top 50% in San Jose 95120 (Almaden Valley):

First, just over the last year…

Next, going back several years….

Average Days on Market of homes for sale (most expensive half):

Inventory

Average price per square foot

Want to learn more? Please also see:
The Silicon Valley Luxury Home Market
The Luxury Real Estate Market in Almaden, Los Gatos, Monte Sereno, and Saratoga
Hacienda Cemetery and Memorial Park in New Almaden
Graystone and Pfeiffer Ranch Areas of Almaden Valley

View Almaden Valley Estates & Luxury Homes for Sale

Prices from $1,500,000 and up.

Showing properties 1 - 5 of 11. See more 95120 zip code real estate.
(all data current as of 2/11/2012)

1. $2,950,000 : 20315 Mckean Rd, San Jose
   
   6 beds, 3 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 5,000 sq ft

   Lot size: 2.50 ac
   
2. $2,650,000 : 18680 Vista De Almaden Ct, San Jose
   
   5 beds, 5 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 6,000 sq ft

   Lot size: 1.59 ac
   
3. $2,549,000 : 7184 Glenview Dr, San Jose
   
   5 beds, 4 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 6,251 sq ft

   Lot size: 20,473 sq ft
   
4. $2,188,000 : 18590 Almaden Rd, San Jose
   
   4 beds, 3 full baths

   Home size: 3,471 sq ft

   Lot size: 1.32 ac
   
5. $2,100,000 : 6082 Almaden Rd, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 2 full baths

   Home size: 1,800 sq ft

   Lot size: 1.92 ac
   

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

Yesterday I was showing homes in Almaden (San Jose 95120) to one of my buyers for that area.  A house in the Shadowbrook neighborhood had a really spectacular view of the hills from the upstairs bedrooms – could not resist snapping the picture to share.

If you are not familiar with this part of Silicon Valley, that’s Mt. Umunhum with the squarish building on top.

A few months back, I took an image of these same hills from the campus of Valley Christian High School.  You can see it in this post on this same blogsite:
View from Valley Christian High School: Santa Teresa Foothills & Coastal Range On that one you can spot Mt. Umunhum as the area with the flat top along the crest of the hills.

Want to learn more about this upscale, scenic part of San Jose (in Santa Clara County)? Read an intro post: What Are the Advantages of Buying a Home in Almaden Valley?

More posts on Almaden Valley, the Almaden real estate market etc. here.

Looking for two Almaden houses for two different buyer families:

I am working with two wonderful cash buyer couples looking for homes to call their own in San Jose’s Almaden Valley district (95120 area). We’ve seen everything listed for sale on the multiple listing service so I’m hoping one of my readers will be able to point us to something not currently online.

Budget is up to appx 1 million in both cases. Both are looking for houses with good floorplans and locations with no big issues (no busy roads, not too close to schools etc.). Decent to large backyard sought – regular lots, no patio homes. Prefer homes that have been maintained but open to distressed properties. Location and layout are more important than the amount of updating & remodeling. Both are exceedingly serious and ready to buy now. Both will be owner occupied properties, not investment homes.

They want similar but not identical homes – 3 to 5 bedrooms (3 + den minimum), 2-3 baths, prefer no pool but will consider one with it….

To read more, please view the entry on my popehandy.com website for details on beds, baths, pool, schools area etc.  Please contact me if you have a home that may be a fit for them!!

For retirees or senior home owners in Almaden who’ve been in their houses a very long time, the prospect of selling that beloved San Jose home can be quite daunting.  The longer you’ve been there, the more memories you’ve created and most of the time the harder it is to decide to sell and then do all the work needed to maximize that decision.

In today’s post we’ll go over the decision to sell the home (or not), the timing elements for selling and getting help in doing so.

Deciding it’s time to sell your Almaden Valley home

Perhaps the biggest hurdle is not the physical work involved with preparing a home for the real estate market or moving, but instead is the difficult decision of whether or not to move (and if so, when to do it).

As people age, there are a lot of losses.  There may be retirement that wasn’t chosen, but forced.  Loved ones pass away.  Vision diminishes.  It may become necessary to limit driving, or worse, give it up altogether. It is not hard for those over 65, 70  or 80 years of age to feel like it’s one unhappy challenge after the next. There’s a lot of change but it’s not all positive.

The prospect of also changing one’s residence can seem like one of the biggest, toughest and most unwelcome of all.    

Some home owners will elect to stay put.  I’ve been told more than once, “the only way I’m leaving this place is if they carry me out in a box!“  For them, perhaps home health care or live in help will enable them to remain in their house for the rest of their lives. Perhaps they can have family members move in with them.  They may consider a reverse mortgage if their financial situation requires more income to pay for that help.

For others, though, the prospect of downsizing to something more manageable (such as a condo or apartment or even an independent senior residence) looks like an attractive option.  When my grandmother was about 90, she suggested to my grandfather that he had been retired for many years, but she was still cooking and cleaning, and that either they needed more help or they needed to move out of their large house.  It was not an easy choice, but they eventually did move from their beloved Pasatiempo home to an independent senior place in Santa Cruz, Dominican Oaks. For her, it was like a wonderful new chapter of her life in the sense that she had a whole lot of new friends whereas at home she had become more isolated since by then she wasn’t driving any more.

Whether to sell the house and move or stay put is a decision that should not be made lightly and should be made with all kinds of supporting information.  I strongly suggest talking it over with your tax professional (a CPA or enrolled agent who understands your tax liability for both choices) and if you have one, your financial adviser too.  It is probably wise to also learn what your closest family members think would be in your best interest.  In some cases, they may ask if you’d consider moving closer to them so that they can help you as your needs change.  (This is actually very common.)

Often, putting the pieces together (financial, personal, practical) will make it fairly clear what’s best.  If selling your Almaden Valley home looks like the right decision for you, the next big question is timing.

When to sell your Almaden Valley home:  timing

There are multiple elements to the timing facet for senior home sellers.

• how long does it take to get ready to sell my home?
• is there a best time of year to put my house up for sale?
• how long will it be before a buyer makes an offer on my house?
• how fast will I have to move once my property is under contract?

It is hard to pinpoint how long the first job will take as it varies tremendously from one household to the next and depends on whether things have been occasionally purged or if the house has had a one-way flow of traffic: in.

It’s extremely helpful if you can get family members to assist you with the initial part of preparing your home to sell, which is downsizing and de-cluttering.  Most of us have things we’ve held onto for decades, sometimes unknowingly, and it may be time to give some of those items away, toss or sell them.  This enormous job can take forever to do without help.  Each box may reopen forgotten memories and stop you in your tracks.

There are people you can hire to help you move through this stage too; they are called professional organizers in most areas and can be immensely helpful!

So how long does this take? Depending on how much help you have and how much stuff you have, it could take anywhere from a couple of weeks or a month to well more than a year.  If you are thinking that sometime in the next 5 years you will want to downsize, you can do yourself an immense favor and begin to thin out your possessions starting today.

The best time of year to sell is often said to be spring (between February and April or May) but each year it varies a little so it’s not an exact science.  It is very possible to sell your home at ANY time of year if your house is priced right, in good shape, staged well and marketed well.  For retirees, seniors or elderly home owners, I would say that the first priority probably ought to be when the timing is best for them to move above all else.

Can we predict how long it will take to sell a home in Almaden? Somewhat, yes.  We know that if it’s well priced, staged, marketed, and easily accessible, it should sell fairly quickly. The trick is in being fully prepared and fully competitive at every level.  If your property backs to high voltage lines or a busy road, you cannot price it the same as if it had a greenbelt view.  The biggest sellers’ mistake that I see is overpricing because the seller believes that his or her property is worth more than the market will really bear.  That is the #1 reason why most homes either don’t sell at all or sell only after a very long time.

The Almaden Real Estate Market & Pricing

To understand the market conditions in the 95120 (Almaden) area, it’s important to first see the ratio of listings to homes that actually sell and close escrow.  Without studying the statistics, you might think that every home eventually sells – or even most.  But actually that’s not the case!  The odds are, in fact, against selling.  It’s imperative to understand things like the absorption rate or months of inventory and the ratio of list price to sales price.  If you are overpriced, the odds are greater that you won’t be successful in selling.

I should add here that while there’s a lot of info about recent home sales online, it’s not all either accurate or helpful. A “sale” might show up on the web when in fact it’s a price for a refinance, which is smaller.  A sales price might list a number, but the comments which real estate agents can see may indicate the reason or that the “net” price was actually higher.   I might be able to see the comps and know that one house sold low because it was a short sale, and another high because the sellers carried the loan.  An agent familiar with Almaden knows that a “radius search” is somewhat helpful, but sometimes the comparable sales on the online sites may pull from a different school district or lesser location and not adjust at all for that.  So it’s good to get professional help with the price analysis on your house.

When everything is “just right”, homes usually sell within a month.

Check the current real estate market report on my RE Report for Almaden (statistics, trends and data).

How long is escrow? How soon will I have to move once the house sells?

Most Silicon Valley homes which sell (where a buyer writes an offer and you accept it) close escrow about a month later. Sometimes, if the buyer is using FHA backed financing (somewhat unlikely in Almaden), it may be 45 days.  Sometimes sellers want a longer escrow so that they have more time to move, but there are risks with longer escrows so most Realtors will advise against it.

If the market is a hot seller’s market when you have the for sale sign put in your front lawn, you may be able to get a short rent back after close of escrow.  This can enable you to move knowing that the money is in the bank and to make sure that there’s no rush in getting the house and yard cleaned up for your move-out.  If it’s a normal market when you sell, though, you’ll probably have to move out of the house at least a few days prior to closing the sale (more if your home needs fumigation – if so, plan for nearly a week).

Getting help to make the most from your Almaden home sale

In addition to the weeding out of possessions, it’s also going to be necessary to get the home into show-ready state if you want to maximize the amount of money you get from your home sale.  In some cases, it may really be easiest for you to consider moving out of the house prior to selling it.  Why would you do that?

Homes sell for more if buyers think that it’s “turnkey” or ready just as it is.  Sellers tend to think “but they may not like my colors” or “buyers will want to personalize the home, so that’s a waste”.  But in actuality, most buyers cannot imagine how the home might look, they only know how it looks now.  To get you the most from your home’s sale, then, we need to make it look the way it will help the buyer to best envision himself or herself in the house.

Most of the time that means, at the very least, new carpet and paint if you’ve been in the property more than 10 years. Many times there will be more extensive things which need to be done, but this has to be determined on a case-by-case basis.

In my own real estate practice, my goal is that for every dollar spent, my clients will make 2-3 back at least.  It works and is not “a waste”!

To do the pre-sale preparation, it will be important to get help: gardeners, stagers, people to scrub the house to a fare-thee-well and more.  When you hire your Realtor, he or she can usually suggest people to help with all of this.  In the majority of cases, it goes much better all around if you hire people to assist with all of this rather than go it alone.

There are many decisions and milestones along the way for older Almaden Valley residents who choose to move and sell their home.  It’s an easier journey if you have good help from the beginning.  I am very familiar with Almaden, have sold homes here since the early 90s and have tremendous experience working with senior home sellers and their families.  (To make sure I wasn’t missing anything which my experience had provided, years ago I obtained the SRES or Seniors Real Estate Specialist designation.)  If you or a family member is interested in talking more with me about a possible home sale in Almaden, San Jose, Los Gatos or anywhere nearby in Santa Clara County, please call or email me.  I’d be very happy to hear from you.

For more reading, please also see:

When A Parent Has To Sell The House

What Do Silicon Valley Seniors Need to Know About Moving Their Property Tax Basis When Selling a Home?

What are the options for senior housing in Silicon Valley?

Browse homes for sale in San Jose’s Almaden Valley district (95120)

Yesterday we looked at the types of home sales around Silicon Valley by price point.  Not terribly surprising, most of the short sales and bank owned homes were in the lowest price ranges.  Today we’ll look at this type of information not by pricing tier but instead by geography – in other words, by either town, city or district of San Jose (area).  This post will not cover every area but will be a sampling a few communities, mostly on the west side of the valley (since that’s primarily where I work).

By way of reminder, the small image to the left reflects Santa Clara County’s houses for sale as a whole – all areas and all price points. (You can see the full sized image by clicking on it.) The green area represents “regular home sales” and the brick red and light orange signify distressed  properties listed on the MLS for sale (red is short sales and orange is bank owned or REOs). Next let’s see a few regions within the county to see how things are faring geographically.

1. Almaden Valley area of San Jose – homes listed for sale by type – very few distressed properties on the market!

Almaden is a lovely southwest San Jose suburban community (zip code 95120) that grew up initially with the cinnabar or mercury mining activity.  Today it’s an upscale area of more expensive homes than most of the county, it enjoys really good schools and scenic views of the coastal range as well as the Santa Teresa Foothills.  Housing here is costly but residents love the quality of life. Since the cost of homes for sale here is high, it’s not super surprising, after seeing yesterday’s post, that there are very few distressed homes on the market here. Next we’ll check the other extreme….

2. Alum Rock area of San Jose – this is a less wealthy part of Santa Clara County and generally has been harder hit by the mortgage and housing crisis.

In this east San Jose neighborhood of Alum Rock (near beautiful Alum Rock Park), almost half the homes listed for sale are either short sales or bank owned properties.  That said, Alum Rock has some areas which are much more upscale (and elevated), some with many many acres of land and those pricier properties are not quite so badly hit with the distressed property deluge.

3. Cambrian area of San Jose – a west valley community that often closely reflects Santa Clara County as a whole

The Cambrian or Cambrian Park district of San Jose often has prices, days on market and other trends which are very similar to Santa Clara County so it’s often a good “gauge” of how the area is doing generally.  If you compare this graph to the one at the top of this post, you’ll find them very similar – about 2/3 of listed houses and duet homes for sale are “regular” or non-distressed sales.

5.  Campbell -a little more expensive, great downtown, popular area

Campbell is exceedingly popular as it’s got a charming downtown, enjoys light rail access and is part of the Los Gatos Creek Trail. It’s close to Los Gatos, but more affordable. Here about 70% of the homes listed for sale on our multiple listing service or MLS are regular sales, so a little healthier than most of Silicon Valley.

6. Los Gatos – a more expensive community, fewer distressed houses for sale

In Los Gatos, there are right now just 3 short sales on the market (for houses and duet homes) and NO bank owned homes. As you can see, it’s overwhelmingly “normal sales” and this helps a lot with home values.

A year or so ago, we had a cluster of short sales in one particular east Los Gatos neighborhood and it was really damaging the property values of the “regular sellers’” homes. It’s encouraging to see this correct a bit.

7. Monte Sereno – more expensive still – no distressed houses for sale right now!

Monte Sereno is a tiny city with 4,000 residents. It’s more expensive then neighboring Los Gatos, with whom it shares police, schools, library and more.

With no businesses or commercial buildings, Monte Sereno enjoys a quieter lifestyle.  Most of the activity is either around Daves Avenue School, the post office/city building or the horse trails!

8. Palo Alto -home to Stanford and classy luxury homes

Stately and vibrant Palo Alto is home to Stanford University (and the Lucille Packard Hospital, which is a world class facility).  Schools in this city are top-rated in Silicon Valley.  The city is beautiful and there’s lots to do.  For many reasons, then, Palo Alto is probably the most sought after address in the region, and home prices reflect its desireability. Not surprisingly, then, it’s not likely that home buyers will find many low-cost distressed properties on the market.  When they do appear, they tend to go fast.  As of this writing, there’s just one short sale and no bank owned homes available there.

9. Saratoga – great schools, scenic vista, highly regarded Silicon Valley community

Saratoga is not as costly as Palo Alto, but within Santa Clara County it’s right up there near the top for least affordable.

What I find most interesting here is not the small number of distressed properties on the MLS in Saratoga, but rather that there’s an equal number of short sales as there are REOs (bank owned).  Usually the ratio is more 2 – to – 1.  Maybe it’s a fluke? We’ll have to check and see down the road!

What we see when looking at Silicon Valley houses listed for sale by sale type is that the geographical differences largely mimic the pricing tiers.  The more expensive the area – or the home within it – the less likely you are to find that bargain priced property.

For more info on Silicon Valley Communities, please also see my website’s community information page.

The Silicon Valley real esate market is heating up but it’s not heating “evenly”.  Some price points and areas (or school districts) enjoy a hot seller’s market while other segments are lagging.  A big factor in the overall health of the realty market in the San Jose area is the percentage of listings which are distressed properties, meaning short sales and bank owned homes.  Today we’ll see the ratios of these homes to the regular sales using graphs to get a quick visual take on the market trends and statistics.

Today we’ll look at homes listed on the MLS in all of Santa Clara County (including San Jose, Campbell, Los Gatos, Saratoga etc.) by price point. All of the graphs in this post will reference houses and duet homes combinesd(about 99% houses), not condos or townhomes.

Overall, it looks like about 1/3 of all homes for sale in the county are distressed sales. Next let’s look at this data by price point and then we’ll check it by area.  The images below will be smaller but the colors will represent the same elements in each one (green being regular sales, brick being short sales and light orange being REOs).

Ratio of regular sales to short sales and bank owned homes in Silicon Valley by price point

1. $599,999 and under

This first graph by pricing reflects houses (and duet homes) for sale in Santa Clara County which are under $600,000.

For this group, less than 50% (the green segment) is “regular sales”.  Most of the housing market in this entry-level pricing is distressed properties for sale.

Notice, too, that there are far more short sales than REOs or bank owned homes.

2. $600,000 to $999,999

The next group is homes priced between $600,000 and $999,000 – so these are primarily “move up” home prices, though in some parts of Siicon Valley (such as Palo Alto, Saratoga, Los Altos and a few others), these homes would be a first house, most likely.

3. $1 million to $2 million dollars

The third grouping consists of Santa Clara County houses for sale which are listed between $1,000,000 and $2,000,000.

These are nicer homes but usually not luxury housing per se in most parts of the county. In the more affordable areas such as Morgan Hill, Gilroy, and east San Jose areas, though, these could also constitute estate or luxury homes. (Not in Los Gatos, Monte Sereno or some west valley areas).

It is interesting to see that in this upper price point there are very few distressed sales – almost all of them are “regular sales”.

4. Homes priced at more than $2,000,000 – the Luxury Homes

Luxury homes in Santa Clara County vary but most are in the single million digit prices and very few selling more than $10 or $20 million  (though you may have heard about the recent, history-making $100,000 million sale in Los Altos Hills).

Tomorrow check back to see how these types of numbers shake out by city, town or district – we will view a sampling of them.

With our 300 sunny days per year in Silicon Valley (at least most years!), golf is a sport enjoyed year round here in the San Jose area.  Living near a golf course, or having a golf course view, is highly desirable as it provides scenic open space as well as convenience for avid golfers.

Silicon Valley Golf Homes, Silicon Valley Golf Properties

There are beautiful courses throughout the South Bay Area and it’s possible to find small condos with views of them at fairly affordable prices (Sunnyvale’s Sunken Gardens area is one of them).  Today, though, I want to provide a list of homes for sale near golf courses in the foothill areas of Silicon Valley.  Many of these will also be luxury homes. So the MLS list of these houses on the market which you can browse includes these areas:

San Jose areas including Evergreen & Silver Creek, Santa Teresa, Blossom Valley and Almaden; Los Gatos, Monte Sereno, Saratoga, Cupertino, and Los Altos.

There are golf courses to be found in other parts of Santa Clara County too (Mountain View, Sunnyvale, Santa Clara and more) – let me know if you are interested in these parts and I can send you a link for searching them for similar residential real estate.

How are the key housing indicators in the Almaden Valley area of San Jose? At the moment it’s said to be a cold “buyer’s market” overall.  But look closer and it is something of a mixed bag.  Prices are better for buyers, but there’s not much from which to pick.

Almaden Valley Inventory of Houses for Sale

Right now I have a few Almaden Valley home buyers and they have all been disappointed at the lack of inventory.  What’s happening?

First, let’s see what “usually” happens in he 95120 zip code in terms of the number of houses for sale.  Here’s a look at the last 6 years, care of Altos Research:

Normally our inventory bottoms out in winter and then rises beginning sometime after the Super Bowl or perhaps a little later.  This year it looks like we have hit the bottom and inventory is nudging up again, but not as dramatically as we have seen in recent years.

Perhaps the whole cycle is running a little late.  The peak in 2009 was around July 1st, but in 2010 the peak was around October 1st – it does move around a little.

Since we are seeing somewhat softer prices than a year ago, a couple of my clients have told me that they’ve decided to hold off on selling for now.  It is very possible that they are representative of how other sellers are feeling too – so there may be a little restriction on inventory this season while prices are down.

The impact on sales is not hard to predict: more of the available inventory is being bought up.  Often the ratio of pendings to available runs anywhere from about 50% to 70% (so 1 pending for every 2 available = 50%).  Right now, though, the ratio is 81%.  Buyers still have to buy.  (So sellers, the odds are better for selling now as opposed to when there’s more inventory.)

How are the Days on Market in 95120?

Here’s a view of all price points in Almaden over the last 3 years combined:

Next, one year with the four price quartiles separated out. See how much tougher it is to sell a “luxury home” than “entry level” in this part of San Jose now. All but the highest tier are improving now.

What about list prices of Almaden homes for sale?

The median list price is slipping, which is great for buyers – if they can find anything that they want to buy!

And here’s the data by price quartile across all of Almaden for the last year:

Remember, please, that it may vary if you’re in a more or less desirable area, have more or less land, the house is more or less remodeled, etc. – these are general trends!

Looking closer in time, let’s have a peek at the last 30 days:

It’s pretty flat in the lower price points right now.

Median List Price Per Square Feet in San Jose 95120

Anyone buying now has the benefit of getting much more house for the money than a few years ago:

Here’s a look at the last year by price quartile:

Finally, if interested, you can see how this area compares to others nearby – if you like what you see, you can sign up to get updated weekly.