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Mary Pope-Handy
Realtor
CRS, ABR, E-Pro, SRES
Sereno Group Real Estate
214 Los Gatos-Saratoga Road
Los Gatos, CA 95030
408 204-7673
Mary (at) PopeHandy.com
CA DRE License
# 01153805

Posts Tagged ‘market update’

Cambrian Park in San Jose is an Appreciating Market

Monday, August 24th, 2009

San Jose’s westside suburb of Cambrian Park appears to have “bottomed out” in February or March.  Home prices are rising there now, at least in many price points.   Cambrian consists of two zip codes, 95124 and 95118 (and a sliver of 95008) and two high school districts, Campbell Union High School District and San Jose Unified School District.

The “months of inventory” reflects how long the current inventory of homes for sale would take to be absorbed if sales continued at the same pace and no new homes came on the market. Six months is a balanced market more than six is a buyer’s market, and less than six is a seller’s market.

As you can see, it’s a seller’s market in Cambrian Park in both school districts!  (This may not be true for all homes in all prices and all conditions, but it is indicative of the overal market.)

Cambrian Park Real Estate Numbers as of Aug 24, 2009
         
Campbell Union HSD San Jose Unified SD
Actives 82   Actives 11
Pendings 80   Pendings 27
Recently closed* 36   Recently closed 25
MOI 2.28   MOI 0.44
         
         
*closed in the last month    

With inventory selling really fast, it is not surprising that prices are rising.  Below please view the Altos Report (to which I have a subscription) for the last 6 months:

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

This is a little busy, but here’s the same data but broken down by price quartile:

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The Los Gatos Real Estate Market by Zip Code, School District and Price Point - August 2009

Monday, August 24th, 2009

The Los Gatos real estate market appears to remain a ” buyer’s market”, but it entirely depends on which part of the Los Gatos market you’re discussing.

This post will cover:

  • single family homes (99% houses, but a few duet homes)
  • 95030 and 95032 zip codes
  • Two high school districts:
    • Los Gatos Saratoga High School District (meaning Los Gatos High School)
    • Campbell Union High School District (meaning Westmont or Leigh High Schools)
  • varying price points in all of the above

General comments:
Most of 95030 is in the Los Gatos Saratoga High School District, but there is a very, very tiny portion of it which belongs to the Campbell Union High School District.  The percentage is so small as to be statistically insignificant, but I wanted to mention it here for the sake of accuracy and I will include it below.  The numbers below are from our MLS provider, MLSListings.com, with the numbers crunched by me, Mary Pope-Handy.  While I have made every effort to be 100% accurate, I do not guarantee it (don’t sure me if there’s a typo or other error!).

moi-explained-by-Mary-Pope-Handy

Overview of the basic numbers and months of inventory for the housing market in the town of Los Gatos overall  - homes for sale, pending sales, and closed sales within the last month:

Act 117
Pend 30
Closed in last month 16
MOI 7.31

It appears to be a buyer’s market, which is true for much of the town, but not all of it.  There is variation to a phenomenal degree depending on price point, zip code, and school district.  Below we’ll look at all of it and see market conditions for each segment.
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The Willow Glen Area of San Jose - Real Estate Market Update

Thursday, October 9th, 2008

Silicon Valley has wildly divergent real estate market conditions right now, and those swings are evident in the Willow Glen district of San Jose. As is the case elsewhere in Santa Clara County, the condo market has had a far rougher time of it than the single family home market.

 

Willow Glen real estate absorption ratesThe market for Willow Glen houses has been fairly close to a balanced market (6 months) for much of this year, though the general trend is in the buyers favor at this point and prices are down (see chart below).

The statistics, data and trends for single family homes in the Willow Glen Real Estate Market:

Trends At a Glance Sep 2008 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $690,000 $755,000 (-8.6%) $827,500 (-16.6%)
Average Price $777,762 $801,717 (-3.0%) $928,464 (-16.2%)
No. of Sales 34 35 (-2.9%) 32 (+6.3%)
Active 247 243 (+1.6%) 232 (+6.5%)
Sale vs. List Price 97.5% 98.4% (-0.9%) 98.1% (-0.7%)
Days on Market 39 34 (+14.6%) 33 (+18.4%)

While the aborption rate for condos is far worse then for single family homes in Willow Glen, pricing is amazingly strong - down a very slight amount from a year ago (much less then with houses). That said, almost no condos are selling. So likely only the best of the best is selling and everything else goes unsold. So having strong prices but most homes not selling is no consolation to sellers.

This is a trend we are seeing in most of Silicon Valley, and in all types of homes. Buyers don’t want to fix up. They want turnkey.Statistics, data and trends for condominiums and townhouses in the Willow Glen Real Estate Market of San Jose:

Trends At a Glance Sep 2008 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $511,250 $502,500 (+1.7%) $514,000 (-0.5%)
Average Price $511,250 $498,421 (+2.6%) $526,667 (-2.9%)
No. of Sales 2 9 (-77.8%) 3 (-33.3%)
Active 40 41 (-2.4%) 44 (-9.1%)
Sale vs. List Price 95.8% 97.3% (-1.5%) 97.9% (-2.2%)
Days on Market 40 81 (-50.7%) 73 (-45.5%)

If you are interested in buying or selling a home in Willow Glen, please call or email me. I’d be happy to offer you a free one hour consulation.

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Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

Monday, September 29th, 2008

How is the Almaden Valley Real Estate Market doing?

It’s the end of September now, and normally we see a little rally in the market after Labor Day. Let’s see how this September is stacking up in Almaden Valley. Below, please find charts using current list prices courtesy of Altos Research (to which I subscribe).

The Median List price for the Almaden Valley district of San Jose (zip code 95120) has been declining overall. Does this mean that homes are declining in value? Or does it mean that less expensive homes are being offered for sale? Information from sold data indicates that by and large, homes are holding their value in Almaden right now. The declines in asking prices may indicate that sellers simply want prices to be rising more than they actually are, rather than the idea that values are falling.

This first chart indicates how both homes and condominiums or townhouses are faring in terms of median list prices in Almaden. Interestingly, the condo market had a steeply rising list price this last spring, while the single family home market did a milder version of the same a couple of months later. What sellers want for their homes is not matching up to what they are getting.

 

Next, let’s have a look at the percent of homes that have had price reductions in this part of San Jose. A steep increase in the number of condos needing reductions in price are seen in the timeframe following that rise noted above. This would seem to indicate that condo sellers were more optimistic when putting their homes on the market, but found out over the next couple of months that these asking prices were not realistic. The number of properties getting price decreases among single family homes were a bit later, just like the rising list prices were later, in Almaden. Right now, though, the percentage of sellers decreasing their list prices are about the same for both types of housing - appx 52%. So approximately half the homes currently on the market in Almaden have had at least one price reduction.

 


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