What is the percentage of regular sales in Almaden, Willow Glen, Los Gatos, Cambrian Park and Blossom Valley?
Wednesday, February 16th, 2011A key ingredient in understanding how the Silicon Valley real estate market is faring is the ratio of regular sales to distressed properties on the market (Bank owned or REO listings and short sale listings). Today we’ll study Los Gatos and four areas or districts of San Jose: Almaden Valley, Willow Glen, Cambrian Park, and Blossom Valley.
First, let’s look at the county numbers as a general overview. In all of Santa Clara County, there are 3537 houses, duet homes, condominiums & townhouses for sale and available (“status 1″ for my Realtor readers) on our multiple listing service. Of those, merely 1964 are “regular sales” (56%), 1105 are short sales (31%) and 375 are bank owned homes or REOs (11%).
Now let’s drill down to a few areas: Los Gatos, Almaden Valley, Willow Glen, Cambrian Park and Blossom Valley. We’ll check out the ratio of regular sales of houses and condos in each of these areas. How do these compare to the county average of 56%? Have a look:
This is helpful information for both home buyers & home sellers. Home sellers need to understand the challenges that come with selling in an area with more short sales or REOs, if they are in one of those parts of the valley. Or vice versa: if there are few distressed properties on the market, this makes it easier to sell (with less downward pressure on pricing). Buyers need to appreciate that they will have better luck negotiating in areas where many homes are being sold under some pressure.
A quick disclaimer - if we narrowed this study by school district and even neighborhood school, we might find that these “general numbers” are actually quite different at the hyper-local level. For example, if you visit a post of mine about the Los Gatos real estate market on my Live in Los Gatos blog, you’d find that when we separated out the various school districts, and even price points, the ratio of distressed properties and their absorption rates change very dramatically. To see those, scroll down until you see the blue and yellow boxes.
The condo market in San Jose and nearby areas has taken a beating throughout our downturn. Even so, condos in Los Gatos, Almaden and Willow Glen are faring pretty decently.
Now let’s hone in on each of these five areas and the two main housing types to see the ratio in each of regular sales, short sales, and REOs.
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