What’s My Silicon Valley Home Worth? Estimating the Probable Buyer’s Value
Thursday, June 17th, 2010Today I was chatting with my lender friend, Shashank Shekhar, who’s also a very active blogger and social media maven. We discussed a variety of topics, including how to price a home for sale and establishing the real estate market value of Silicon Valley homes.
Sometimes it can be tricky to estimate what a home might sell for or its market value. I usually talk with my seller clients about trying to find the probable buyer’s value. The seller may have a range of prices that he or she anticipates and would accept. So too with the buyer, whose range will likely be lower than the seller’s. The key is finding where the buyer and seller price ranges overlap. If it’s unlikely that their ranges overlap at all, we’ll have a listing that is difficult or impossible to sell.
Let’s take a hypothetical case of a home worth about a million dollars (see image above). The seller would love for the property to sell close to $1,040,000. The buyer would like to purchase it for $960,000. The agent’s competitive market analysis indicates that similar homes have sold or are selling at around a million dollars, give or take a percent or two. If the buyer and seller can come to a meeting of the minds, and there’s no undue pressure on either one of them, we have (hopefully) a sale and we have market value.
But as we know, sometimes homes sell for much more than they would seem to be worth, and other times much less.
What causes property values to go above or below what would seem to be the probable value? Undue pressure can certainly cause values to rise (desperate buyer who just has to get into a house, even if overpaying or desperate seller who has got to unload a property, even if selling too low).
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Today we’ll focus on contingencies specifically. Contingencies are not the only terms, but they’re among the most important terms in your offer to buy a home. We’ll look at both which contingencies may be involved in your offer and potential transaction, and how much time (how many days) to allow for each. In my opinion, you should never write an offer with NO contingencies. It is just too risky!
San Jose is a hot seller’s market in entry level prices of many neighborhoods (Alum Rock, Evergreen, Blossom Valley, South San Jose, Willow Glen, Cambrian and more), and because of that, we are finding that in many cases, homebuyers are having to compete in multiple offers. (Offer writing generally tends to produce a lot of anxiety for buyers, and there are a lot of questions you may have about the whole real estate purchase offer process. Please also see my