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How’s the Saratoga California real estate market?

Orchard and Hills in Saratoga, California

Orchard and Hills in Saratoga, California

This is a fairly comprehensive article on the Saratoga real estate market that will include the live statistics from Altos Research for listed properties (not closed) in Saratoga CA 95070, the closed sale data from the RE Report for last month in Saratoga 95070, and the numbers I crunched for Saratoga – overall and by price point and high school district, since Saratoga has 3 different high school districts, each with an impact on home values.

First, let’s consider the months of inventory by price point and high school district that I crunched using MLSListings.com, our local multiple listing service provider.

The months of inventory is a reference to how fast homes would be absorbed into the market if sales continued at the same pace and no new inventory came onto the market. It’s often referred to as “the absorption rate” – and that can be months of inventory, weeks of inventory, or days of inventory. A “balanced” market is somewhere around 4-5 months for us, though the National Association of Realtors says that 6 months is balanced nationwide. Anything under 3 is a good seller’s market, and under 1 is like saying that homes are “flying off the market.”

(For comparison, please also see a similar article on the Live in Los Gatos blog for the town of Los Gatos – real estate market by price point and high school district.)

Here’s the chart for Saratoga – all price points, all school districts.

And for comparison, here’s the chart from last month:

This month shows steady, low inventory with increasing sales, creating a higher MOI. Despite winter cooling, the market just won’t let up, and an overall 2.375 MOI is still a sellers market. By comparing across school districts you can see how different each area’s individual market can be. The overall MOI for different schools this month ranges from 1.8 to 2.778. Small levels of inventory can create big data swings like, and can make for not the most accurate charts. Nonetheless, we can still spot market trends if we know where to look.

 

Continue reading

Willow Glen in San JoseWillow Glen is perhaps the most charming residential area of the city of San Jose with its old style architecture, tree lined streets and quaint downtown area on Lincoln Avenue and nearby. For folks working in downtown San Jose, the Willow Glen area (roughly the same as 95125 zip code, though a bit of 95124 is included also) is extremely convenient. Inventory hasn’t improved since last year, and homes continually sell close to list price quickly, in just over a month. Willow Glen remains in a sellers market.

Click for the complete Willow Glen real estate report with all of the numbers, stats and trends from the closed sales of houses for last month. Further down in this article you’ll find the Altos Research charts as well.

Willow Glen Stats At A Glance

Year-Over-Year

  • Median home prices fell by 5.6% year-over-year to $1,175,000 from $1,245,000.
  • The average home sales price dropped by 4.2% year-over-year to $1,250,760 from $1,305,670.
  • Home sales rose by 39.4% year-over-year to 46 from 33.
  • Active listings fell 14.9% year-over-year to 74 from 87.
  • Sales price vs. list price ratio fell by 0.1% year-over-year to 102.2% from 102.3%.
  • The average days on market rose by 0.3% year-over-year to 29 from 29.

Compared To Last Month

  • Median home prices slipped by 0.2% to $1,175,000 from $1,177,250.
  • The average home sales price fell by 2% to $1,250,760 from $1,276,250.
  • Home sales up by 64.3% to 46 from 28.
  • Active listings increased 7.2% to 74 from 69.
  • Sales price vs. list price ratio increased by 2.2% to 102.2% from 100.0%.
  • The average days on market dropped by 23% to 29 from 38.

A little cooling won’t take us out of a deep sellers market, but it should ease conditions slightly for long-term buyers.

And next, of Willow Glen condos:

Continue reading

Morgan Hill land along the Uvas RiverHow’s the real estate market in Morgan Hill? This article will include data, trends and statistics for both houses and condominiums / townhouses.

For the single family home segment in this “south county” town, prices are mostly consistent year over year and month over month. The sale price to list price ratio has been hovering between 98% and 100% for months. The cities of Morgan Hill and Gilroy are usually a bit less in demand than parts of Santa Clara County which are either tech magnets or closer to these big businesses. So while most of the Silicon Valley has a sale price to list price ratio of anywhere from 100% to 110%, it’s generally lower here, making the home buying conditions calmer for weary buyers, though still a sellers market. Below is a chart with basic info, but to see more information, you may click on this link to see the Real Estate Report for Morgan Hill.

Continue reading

The Santa Clara County real estate statistics for Single Family Homes

 Read the full report for houses and duet homes in Santa Clara County here 

(NEW! You can also access the stats for San Mateo and Santa Cruz Counties from here!)

Prices are up month over month and year over year after some slight cooling earlier this month. Inventory is up from a year ago but not enough to catch up with the deficit.

 

Santa Clara County Stats At A Glance for sales closed in November 2016

Year-Over-Year

  • Median home prices increased by 5.2% year-over-year to $1,010,000 from $960,500.
  • The average home sales price rose by 7.1% year-over-year to $1,297,260 from $1,211,630.
  • Home sales rose by 21.1% year-over-year to 850 from 702.
  • Active listings fell 22.1% year-over-year to 1,531 from 1,965.
  • Sales price vs. list price ratio fell by 0.9% year-over-year to 101.6% from 102.5%.
  • The average days on market rose by 9.2% year-over-year to 31 from 28.

Compared To Last Month

  • Median home prices slipped by 3.8% to $1,010,000 from $1,050,000.
  • The average home sales price rose by 1.0% to $1,297,260 from $1,283,920.
  • Home sales down by 6.2% to 850 from 906.
  • Active listings dropped 23.1% to 1,531 from 1,991.
  • Sales price vs. list price ratio dropped by 0.2% to 101.6% from 101.8%.
  • The average days on market dropped by 1.4% to 31 from 31.

 

Continue reading

Door knockerToday is the first of November. For many Santa Clara County home buyers and sellers, it marks the beginning of “the holiday season” and the end of the home buying & selling season. But is that always the case?

In my real estate practice (San Jose, Los Gatos and all over the county), normally I do have sales activity in November and December. Many times, clients want to be in their new home before the December holidays and the new year. Sometimes it’s for tax reasons. Other times it’s a late year relocation. Once in awhile, someone just wants Christmas, Hanukkah or some other major date in the new home.

This morning I logged onto MLS Listings to see the numbers of sales of single family homes in the month of November over the last dozen years or so to see what we could learn about November home sales in Santa Clara County. We don’t have a crystal ball for November 2014, but if annual patterns hold true again, around 800 homes are likely to sell this month. The lowest number in recent history was 510, and that was during the recession.  Here, then, are the counts for houses sold in SCC in the last 17 years (as far back as I could go on the MLS):

2013 – 762

2012 – 810

2011 – 834

2010 -856

2009 – 853

2008 – 672

2007 – 510

2006 – 853

2005 – 992

2004 – 1146

2003 – 1136

2002 – 933

2001 – 996

2000 – 926

1999 – 1051

1998 – 1080

People still need to buy houses, for whatever reason it may be. The statistics tell us that they continue to do so here in November.  If you are thinking of selling your Silicon Valley home, don’t believe that you must wait until the new year.  A good, well priced, well presented, and well marketed home really can sell here at any time of year.  Unlike the northeast, we do not have terrible weather that makes showings difficult or unappealing.   If you’re interested in a fall or winter home sale, please call or email me.  We can discuss it, your home’s pricing and everything else relevant to give you good information on which to base your decision.

 

Related reading:  Holiday Home Selling: Good or Bad Idea?

  1. 4 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,652 sq ft
    Lot size: 6,011 sqft
  2. 2 beds, 2 full, 1 half baths
    Home size: 1,291 sq ft
    Lot size: 1,306 sqft
  3. 3 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,420 sq ft
    Lot size: 6,446 sqft
  4. 3 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,094 sq ft
    Lot size: 1,089 sqft
  5. 5 beds, 3 full baths
    Home size: 2,654 sq ft
    Lot size: 6,621 sqft
  6. 4 beds, 3 full baths
    Home size: 1,625 sq ft
    Lot size: 6,098 sqft
  7. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 903 sq ft
    Lot size: 1,742 sqft
  8. 3 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,442 sq ft
    Lot size: 6,185 sqft
  9. 1 bed, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,420 sq ft
    Lot size: 1,089 sqft
  10. 4 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 1,264 sq ft
    Lot size: 5,270 sqft

See all Real estate in the city of San Jose.
(all data current as of 3/26/2017)

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

Gilroy Garlic FestivalGilroy is a scenic area well known for wineries, farmland and fruit stands.  More than anything,  it’s most iconic produce is garlic, which is celebrated late each July with the annual Garlic Festival, which began yesterday and continues through the weekend.  If you’ve never been, I highly recommend it!  Go early and bring your appetite!  There’s more than just eating to be enjoyed, but eating is surely high up on the list of priorities!  Click on the link above to see what’s on the schedule this weekend.  (Be sure to wear sunscreen and a hat. It is very hot…so drink a lot of water…)

In the days and weeks leading up to this fun food festival, the scent of garlic fills the early morning air and blows north along the coastal foothills so that those of us in Silicon Valley get a healthy nose full when grabbing our morning paper off the driveway. This has been my experience since I was a small child and I’m happy that all the progress of the last 40 or 50 years hasn’t changed the smell of garlic heralding mid-summer.

Garlic is king in Gilroy, but it’s not all that’s happening there

A nice easy, and fairly fast trip by car will bring you to South County and to Gilroy.  It’s a wonderful day trip to explore the backyard of Silicon Valley, or better, take a whole weekend to get to know the area.  There’s a nice downtown area where you can do some shopping and dining.  Go out a bit and there are a number of fabulous wineries to check out.  And lest we forget, Gilroy is a local epicenter of bargain shopping.

At the intersection of highways 101 and 152, the Gilroy Premium Outlet Mall is found.  Go with the intention of spending money, because resistance is futile once you park your car.  This afternoon I spent a few hours there with my daughter and we found some especially good pricing on clothes – perhaps because of the Garlic Festival and the anticipated crowds.

Many will attest that cars are found for a better price there, too.

But wait, there’s more!  Gilroy is also home to a charming family amusement park (aimed at younger kids), Gilroy Gardens.   Continue reading

The 95129 area of San Jose, which is sometimes referred to as the “Cupertino Border” area and is generally part of “West San  Jose”, is highly desirable due to the excellent school scores in the Cupertino School District (which much of this zip code enjoys – but not all), well maintained homes and great commute location to companies such as Apple (headquartered in Cupertino). Today we’ll consider the real estate market activity for houses in this area today and in relation to recent history.
This data  will be automatically updated by Altos Research (to which I have a subscription) weekly. Altos uses list prices, not sales or sold prices, FYI.

Median List price for San Jose 95129

Median list price, all quartiles combined, going back about 7 years. Peak for pricing was in very late 2007.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Median list price for just the last 12 months:

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com
Continue reading

Condominiums and townhouses in Santa Clara County have enjoyed rapid appreciation and almost perfectly steady improvement in the market in the last 18 months or so.  Today we’ll take a snapshot view of it with a few graphs.  First, let’s consider the average Days on Market (DOM) and the sale price to list price ratio for condos and townhouses in Santa Clara County.

Santa Clara County Condos and Townhomes Average DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio July 2 2013

Santa Clara County Condos and Townhomes Average DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio July 2 2013

 The chart above shows some calming down in the Santa Clara County condo market.  First, it appears that the sale price to list price ratio stopped its wild ascent and has reversed itself some in June 2013.  But also, it seems that the days to sell leveled out (and stopped its decline).  Just to check on the apparent trend, I went to MLSListings and ran the numbers for the closed sales just yesterday and today (July closings).  The average sale price to list price was 106%, a tad lower than what we saw in June.

What about new inventory vs sold homes?  In the chart below, we see that the gap between them widened in June: more inventory, fewer sales (of course the June sales were contracts ratified in May, in most cases).  This also suggests a loosening in the condo market here. It’s not suddenly a buyer’s market, but perhaps we are seeing the beginning of a trend reversal?  Have a look at the chart:   Continue reading

How's the market?Residential real estate prices in Santa Clara County rose in February 2013 by  34.5%. That’s the 5th month in a row that the median sales price has been higher than the year before by more than 20%. This is why we are saying it could be a bubble. The median price for single-family, re-sale homes is up 53% from the lowest part of the market, which happened n March 2009. Santa Clara County as a whole is still 21% below the peak which occurred in June 2007. That said, some areas area already back to peak pricing, including the hotbed areas of Cupertino, Sunnyvale, Mountain View and Palo Alto.

FEBRUARY SINGLE FAMILY HOME MARKET STATISTICS FOR SANTA CLARA COUNTY

Sales of single-family, re-sale homes were down 21.4% year-over-year (due to lack of inventory, not lack of interest by buyers). There were 585 homes sold last month in Santa Clara County. The median price for homes jumped 34.5% yea-rover- year. The median price has been higher than the year before for the past thirteen months. The sales price to list price ratio has been over 100% for the past twelve months. It was 103.8% for February 2013. That is the highest the ratio has been since April 2005.

The average price for homes was up 25.8% year-over-year. Pending home sales were down 33.5% yearover- year. That’s the fourth month in a row pending sales have been down, portending a slow first quarter in 2013.

Santa Clara County single family homes real estate market statistics for listings and sales February 2013.

Next let’s see the median and average home prices over time along with the number of sales.  Note how sharply the number of sales is falling off while prices are rising.  This is a factor of critically low inventory. Continue reading

Is it a good time to sell a home in Silicon Valley?  One of the best ways to get a pulse on the real estate market is with the months of inventory (MOI), also known as the absorption rate.  The way we calculate it is simple:  find the current available inventory (not under contract or sale pending), then find the number of homes with that exact criteria which have closed escrow in the last 30 days.  Divide the first by the second and you get the months of inventory.

Today I spent a little time on MLSListings.com, our local mls association (of which I am a member) and I ran the numbers for single family homes (houses and duet homes) in Cupertino, Los Altos, Los Gatos, Monte Sereno, Mountain View, Palo Alto, San Jose (all areas combined), Santa Clara, Saratoga, Sunnyvale and three of San Jose’s districts: Almaden, Cambrian, and Willow Glen.  Below, please find the results of that study.   (This is for single family homes of any price range or school district in each city or area named.)

Months of Inventory for many Silicon Valley Communitites

Which are the hottest markets?  They’re the ones with the smallest MOI – Mountain View is at .56 of a month (about 2 weeks), Sunnyvale at .66 month (about 2.5 – 3 weeks), Cupertino at .8 of a month, Palo Alto .81.  All of these are very, very red hot seller’s markets.  Every area, city or town studied was a hot market except for Monte Sereno, which at any given time has few listings and few sales plus a wide range of pricing, so often for this small city it’s best to look at the Los Gatos and Saratoga stats to see what’s really happening.    A few very high priced listings may make the whole area look slow, when it fact it may be just a function of the pricing tier. Continue reading

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Mary Pope-Handy
Realtor
ABR, CIPS, CRS, SRES
Sereno Group Real Estate
214 Los Gatos-Saratoga Rd
Los Gatos, CA 95030
408 204-7673
Mary (at) PopeHandy.com
License# 01153805


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