How’s the San Jose real estate market for condos in Cambrian Park?  Let’s have a look at some of the numbers from my Real Estate Report):

As you can see, inventory is way down year over year - it’s down by 2/3!  The market is largely about supply & demand.  Right now, home buyers know that interest rates are poised to rise (one half to one full percent) sometime this year, so many are finally jumping off the fence and wishing they’d done this a year ago. 

Sellers, meanwhile, are not happy about the new, low prices so are holding off on selling.  Hence, we are experiencing a shortage of supply. 
(more…)

How’s the market in Saratoga?  Your view of the market will be influenced by whether you’re looking at the homes that have sold, the ones on the market, or the ones that are sitting and not selling. 

Here’s a look at the numbers from my Real Estate Report for single family homes: 

Among the sold homes, the median price has been slipping.  This is an “overall” number though, not reflecting price points, location, or school districts.

Here’s the same info for condos and townhomes in Saratoga:

As you can see there were no sales of condos in Saratoga in November - hence all the zeros.   What is managing to sell are the very least expensive homes - not the luxury condos.

Now let’s turn our attention to what’s happening now amoung the active or for sale homes in Saratoga (using Altos Research, to which I have a subscription).

Here’s a graph displaying the overview of list prices for condos and single family homes in Saratoga:

Oddly, list prices appear to be up even though the median sales price is clearly down.  Are sellers out of touch, or what’s happening?  We’ll need more data to answer that.

Here’s a similar graph but just of the single family homes, and this time with a breakdown by price quartile. (Please note that the info would be even more precise if broken down by school district, but this particular program doesn’t yet filter by schools.)

Interestingly, the middle quartiles showed upward movement in pricing over the last 12 months. I have buyers in the lower 3 quartile and it seems that there’s not much inventory among thouse in Saratoga or Cupertino Schools, and when the home is nicely fixed up and has no issues (problems), prices seem to be inching up. 
(more…)

It is a fairly strong seller’s market in the Cambrian Park area of San Jose.  Sales are up, inventory is down, and the list price to sales price ratio is at almost 102%.  Days on market are down for houses (which make up most of the market).  Some indicators are still negative but most are improving.

 Here are the numbers from my online Silicon Valley Real Estate Report for single family homes - houses & duet homes (click on the link for the whole report):

And for the condo and townhouse market in Cambrian Park, things are looking up quite dramatically, with prices even higher than a year ago:
(more…)

The Campbell real estate market appears to be “past the bottom”, as is the case with much of the Silicon Valley housing market. In some parts of San Jose, “the bottom” was in February or March of this year.  Campbell may have hit that point sooner - but in any event it is now heading back toward a balanced market (30 is the balance point for this formula). (Images and charts from Altos Research, to which I have a subscription and permission to use these, as well as the RE Report, another subscription service of mine. Altos uses list prices, the RE Report uses sold data as well as list prices.)

Let’s look at the data for October in Campbell - actives, pendings, and closeds (care of the RE Report).

While in many parts of the greater San Jose area the Days on Market (DOM) are lengthening, they are shortening in Campbell! Sales are up, but prices are still declining a bit (in several areas of Santa Clara County, prices are again inching up - this tends to happen in less expensive areas).  Pending sales are up and inventory is down.  So there are some mixed indicators but Campbell appears to be at or near “the bottom”.
(more…)

The Monte Sereno real estate market is trickier than most Silicon Valley markets to gage because it’s so tiny.  With just four thousand residents, there simply aren’t that many homes for sale in Monte Sereno at any given time and there are even fewer solds.

Monte Sereno Real Estate Trends at a Glance

The info below is from my Silicon Valley REReport, which comes out monthly. Click on the link to see the full report on October’s home sales activity in Monte Sereno.

Home Values in Monte Sereno

Sellers often want to know, perhaps more than anything, what is happening to home values. “What’s my house worth?” is a perennial question because the answer can change from month to month.  Buyers want to know what any particular property should be worth - and often do not see eye to eye with sellers on this point.  Hence, few homes go into escrow (or under contract) each month. (The months supply of inventory has averaged 19 months in MS this year - more on that below - which indicates that there’s a bit of a standoff between buyers and sellers. Buyers aren’t buying in the vast majority of cases.)

(more…)

Single family homes in the more affordable price ranges seem to be flying off the market in the San Jose district of Almaden Valley.  For the last twelve weeks or so, the absorption rate or months of inventory in the 95120 zip code has been hovering around 2 - 3 months. That’s fast!  (6 months is a balanced market, less a sellers market, and more a buyers market.)

This comprehensive post will include data from three subscription based  sources.  First a summary of the October 2009 sold data (care of my RE Report ).  Then, with the aid of Clarus Market Metrics (a subscription through my MLS and real estate board), we’ll take a two year view of the Almaden real estate market, its months of inventory and supply & demand ratios.  Then we’ll incorporate data from Altos Research, another subscription service I utilize, to look at the data for listed homes today, broken down by price quartile (since what may be happening in Almaden overall may not be the experience in a subset of this market).

Fewer homes are coming on the market now, so the old inventory is getting absorbed.  Prices often are getting pushed up in multiple offers if the home sells quickly (in 3 - 4 weeks).
(more…)

Willow Glen is an interesting, varied, historic, scenic and upscale part of Silicon Valley.  It is convenient to downtown San Jose but has its own distinct history; even though it’s been part of the city of San Jose for nearly 75 years, ask a Willow Glen resident where he or she lives and the answer will be “Willow Glen”, not San Jose.

 I’ll use Altos Research for my source (a subscription I have & have the right to reproduce images etc here). Since 95% of Willow Glen is composed of 95125 zip code, that’s what we’ll use. The graphs below are dynamic so although I’m posting this in fall of 2009, the charts should be accurate in the future too. NB, Altos uses list prices. 

List prices for San Jose, 95125 over the last 12 months by price quartile:

Average days on market for San Jose, 95125 over the last 12 months by price quartile:

(more…)