trends

How’s the Cupertino real estate market?

Cupertino - view from Ridge Vineyards

Cupertino – view from Ridge Vineyards

Much of the Santa Clara County is seeing lower prices than it did back in March or April, but most of the county is “up” year over year.

Cupertino, though, is not. Nearer to the bottom of this post, please check out the RE Report stats and note that prices are lower by 19 and 9%, respectively, for the median and average sale prices of single family, resale homes in the city of Cupertino.

One month does not a trend make, but we’ll be following this carefully.

About this info:

The real estate market in Silicon Valley can sometimes be a little quirky, so I like to approach this question from a few angles. In this article I’ll make use of  my charts from Altos Research, which uses listing data (not solds) and is automatically updated every week and also monthly reports from my RE Report subscription, which uses sold data as well as active listings data. Also I’ll periodically update it with info from the MLS that I have crunched myself or anecdotal stories from those of us “in the trenches.” The article is a bit long but I think much more comprehensive giving the multiple methods of answering the question of how the Cupertino real estate market is faring.

See also: new listing as of July 17, 2018 in Cupertino with Monta Vista High at 1190 Crestline Drive

Cupertino median list price of houses by price quartile

Often the real estate market in any given city is very different between the most expensive homes and the most affordable ones. While many Cupertino home buyers are looking for a short commute, great public schools or strong resale value, some seek a luxury property with a view in the Cupertino hills (either off of Montevina Road by Ridge Vineyards or in other lower foothills). The more moderate pricing tiers are faring better in Cupertino and in most of the valley than those in that luxury tier (think over $3 or $4 million for luxury tier in this city).

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

The last few months have had some ups and downs in pricing, but most segments of the Cupertino real estate market have seen an overall uptick since last year, even after a bit of recent price cooling. The luxury market in Cupertino had a steep rise at the start of the year, but it appears to have peaked. What if we look back more than a year? Combining the quartiles, it seems that there’s been more up than down, though buyers will be happy to see the current trend is pointing down.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

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Bel Estos Drive near Carlton and Rosswood in San Jose's Cambrian areaMy Cambrian area of San Jose Real Estate Report was recently published with the updated numbers from the closed sales last month for this part of San Jose (95124 and 95118 with a little of 95008 too). Please click on the link above to see much more information there. Those charts are below.

First, though, I want to share some info that I pulled from the MLS last night. It does appear that Cambrian home prices have come down quite a bit since the peak of pricing in March.  For home sellers wondering why their properties aren’t selling as quickly, this may be helpful. Also it’s good info for those thinking of selling their houses or condos in this second half of 2018.

The very best way to know what the market is doing is to track the same house as it sells and re-sells. However, most home owners don’t move often, so that is not helpful to us. The next best method is to find very similar properties and track them. That would be such as all condos in a large development with approximately the same floor plan / size.

Cambrian often mimics the valley as a whole pretty well, so I thought I would pull up a representative sample from a hot segment of the market to get my own sense of how things are going. I pulled starter homes with Campbell Union High School District, zip code 95124, with 1000 – 1500 SF, 3-4 bedrooms and 2+ baths.

Here are the averages from March to today (updated Sept 7, 2018):

March 2018 (10 sales)  average price per SF $1,100.53  average sale price $1,429,612
April 2018 (15 sales)     average price per SF $1,138.75  average sale price $1,417,000
May 2018 (14 sales)      average price per SF $1,076.54  average sale price $1,375,643
June 2018 (10 sales)     average price per SF   $980.64  average sale price  $1,258,550 (steepest drop from the month before)
July 2018 (12 sales)       average price per SF   $974.35  average sale price  $1,232,958
August 2018 (9 sales)    average price per SF  $899.29  average sale price $1,176,522

That is a drop in the average sale price of $253,090 over 5 months for this group, or about $50,618 per month on average (though some months it is more or less). The data here uses a fairly small pool, so it may not be accurate for all parts of Cambrian, but it is an indicator of what the market is doing overall since this is a very in-demand segment of Cambrian.

If we input this into excel and ask it to generate a forecast through December (which assumes the same rate of change, which may NOT be true), it looks like this – sellers please note, THIS IS WHAT BUYERS ARE THINKING AS THEY WAIT TO BID:

Cambrian segment forecast as of Sept 7 2018

When I plunked the data into excel, it gave a range of possible values…and of course the actual range is myriad! Where do YOU think these values will be with December’s closings (revealed in January)? As low as $871k? As high as $1 million?

Cambrian specialty search forecast as of Sept 7 2018

Now I need to remind everyone that the market is often not a straight line. Let’s stop and take a look at the county’s sales (average and median prices) to get a sense of that. Although the general trend for the last few years has been upward, please see that there are MANY drops, particularly in the second half of each year.

Santa Clara County home sales and prices

As is evident, seasonally, the market does often flatten or decline somewhat in the second half of each year. The peak is most often in spring sometime. Very often, the peak is in March (again, that means sales the month before, which is February, and that means getting your house all ready in January).  So let’s say that the market does drop at the current rate, in January 2019, this hypothetical Cambrian home would be selling at about $886,000, prior to the possible spring surge in pricing. To get the lowest price means buying in December, not buying in January, most likely. But – December also typically has the lowest inventory, so not much selection. For that reason, if you like a home now, I would suggest buying that home now. Buying a home for yourself and your family is not like buying a stock. You are going to live in it, so you will want to like it. I have seen many buyers try to time the market and end up going through December since they hated what was available, and then they got caught buying in the spring madness, and they paid more.

But who knows if prices will rebound in early 2019 or not. Who knows if prices will continue dropping this year. Some years, we have seen drops followed by rapid appreciation. Last year, prices rose through December, confusing everyone. This could be the beginning of a correction, or it could be a seasonal cool down – a gift for wearing Cambrian home buyers.

If it’s the beginning of a correction, buying now does not make sense unless you plan to be in your home for 10 years or so. If it is a seasonal experience, or a blip, then buying this fall is a good idea, since the new year is very likely to see prices move back up.

Which is it? I do not know for sure. The CEO of my company thinks that prices will trail off for the rest of this year, and then return to their upward march in the spring of 2019 (think Feb – April). When I see the hiring, the Google expansion, I know that people have to live somewhere. It may be a standoff between sellers and buyers on price. My usual advice is simple: if you are ready to get on with your life, and you’re going to stay there 5 or 10 years, buying now most likely makes sense.

Trends at a Glance

Trends At a Glance Aug 2018 Previous Month Year-over-Year
Median Price $1,297,500 (+3.0%) $1,260,000 $1,152,000 (+12.6%)
Average Price $1,315,560 (+0.3%) $1,311,880 $1,182,770 (+11.2%)
No. of Sales 52 (-8.8%) 57 75 (-30.7%)
Pending 50 (-3.8%) 52 47 (+6.4%)
Active 75 (+7.1%) 70 25 (+200.0%)
Sale vs. List Price 103.4% (-1.6%) 105.1% 108.2% (-4.5%)
Days on Market 26 (+52.7%) 17 12 (+117.1%)
Days of Inventory 43 (+17.4%) 37 10 (+332.7%)

 

And the month before:

 

Trends At a Glance Jul 2018 Previous Month Year-over-Year
Median Price $1,260,000 (-4.0%) $1,312,500 $1,140,000 (+10.5%)
Average Price $1,311,880 (-5.3%) $1,385,810 $1,178,450 (+11.3%)
No. of Sales 57 (-1.7%) 58 77 (-26.0%)
Pending 52 (0.0%) 52 61 (-14.8%)
Active 70 (+42.9%) 49 22 (+218.2%)
Sale vs. List Price 105.1% (-5.5%) 111.2% 107.9% (-2.6%)
Days on Market 17 (+39.4%) 12 19 (-11.0%)
Days of Inventory 37 (+50.4%) 25 (+329.8%)

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Willow Glen real estate market is a strong seller's market. This Willow Glen sign is from the downtown business district.Willow Glen is perhaps the most charming residential area of the city of San Jose with its old style architecture, tree lined streets and quaint downtown area on Lincoln Avenue and nearby. For folks working in downtown San Jose, the Willow Glen area (roughly the same as 95125 zip code, though a bit of 95124 is included also) is extremely convenient.

The real estate market in Willow Glen is declining slightly from the peaks earlier this year, but values are up year over year, just like the most of the valley. My sense is that this is a seasonal fluctuation combined with “buyer fatigue”. Last year, the housing market did not follow the regular pattern – but this year, perhaps we are settling back into exactly that.

Click for the complete Willow Glen real estate report with all of the numbers, stats and trends from the closed sales of houses for last month. Further down in this article you’ll find the Altos Research charts as well.

Willow Glen Market Trends

Trends At a Glance Aug 2018 Previous Month Year-over-Year
Median Price $1,435,000 (-1.9%) $1,462,500 $1,391,000 (+3.2%)
Average Price $1,560,210 (+3.0%) $1,515,270 $1,486,540 (+5.0%)
No. of Sales 40 (-13.0%) 46 55 (-27.3%)
Pending 49 (+6.5%) 46 54 (-9.3%)
Active 58 (-17.1%) 70 27 (+114.8%)
Sale vs. List Price 103.5% (0.0%) 103.5% 104.1% (-0.6%)
Days on Market 23 (+47.3%) 15 22 (+1.3%)
Days of Inventory 44 (-4.7%) 46 15 (+195.4%)

 

And the month before:

 

Trends At a Glance Jul 2018 Previous Month Year-over-Year
Median Price $1,462,500 (-0.1%) $1,464,500 $1,309,380 (+11.7%)
Average Price $1,515,270 (-3.2%) $1,565,640 $1,391,670 (+8.9%)
No. of Sales 46 (-14.8%) 54 50 (-8.0%)
Pending 46 (0.0%) 46 46 (0.0%)
Active 70 (+22.8%) 57 39 (+79.5%)
Sale vs. List Price 103.5% (-1.4%) 105.0% 102.8% (+0.7%)
Days on Market 15 (+6.9%) 14 20 (-22.3%)
Days of Inventory 46 (+49.1%) 31 23 (+95.1%)

 

 

And next, of Willow Glen condos:

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How’s the Saratoga California real estate market?

Orchard and Hills in Saratoga, California

Orchard and Hills in Saratoga, California

This is a fairly comprehensive article on the Saratoga real estate market that will include the live statistics from Altos Research for listed properties (not closed) in Saratoga CA 95070, the closed sale data from the RE Report for last month in Saratoga 95070, and the numbers I crunched for Saratoga – overall and by price point and high school district, since Saratoga has 3 different high school districts, each with an impact on home values.

First, let’s consider the months of inventory by price point and high school district that I crunched using MLSListings.com, our local multiple listing service provider.

The months of inventory is a reference to how fast homes would be absorbed into the market if sales continued at the same pace and no new inventory came onto the market. It’s often referred to as “the absorption rate” – and that can be months of inventory, weeks of inventory, or days of inventory. A “balanced” market is somewhere around 4-5 months for us, though the National Association of Realtors says that 6 months is balanced nationwide. Anything under 3 is a good seller’s market, and under 1 is like saying that homes are “flying off the market.”

(For comparison, please also see a similar article on the Live in Los Gatos blog for the town of Los Gatos – real estate market by price point and high school district.)

For most of the valley, inventory is up, prices are down, days on market are up, and sale price to list price ratio is up. It’s still a seller’s market, but it’s softening. If it continues in this direction, it will become a buyer’s market – but is not there yet.

Here’s the chart for Saratoga – all price points, all school districts. Please notice that the months of inventory is about DOUBLE from four months ago. Translation: it’s twice as hard to sell now as it was in mid-April. At the same time, 3.15 months of inventory is still very decent! Also, though home prices can be quite high, the bulk of properties are under $3 million. It’s challenging to sell homes higher than that amount, overall.

 

2018-08-17 Saratoga MOI all areas

 

And from 4 months ago:

2a - Saratoga, CA, Real Estate Market Update

 

By comparing across school districts you can also see how different each area’s individual market can be. Saratoga with Saratoga schools is a little slower of a market. Why? Most likely because it’s a bit pricier than other areas. This area is about 50% slower than it was a few months ago. The overall MOI makes it seem like Saratoga with Saratoga Schools is a bit sluggish. That’s not really the case in most price points, but at $4 million and up, it is a buyer’s market.

 

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The Sunnyvale real estate market has been trending upward for many months. In general, houses in Sunnyvale are selling for about one million eight hundred thousand dollars – if they aren’t too small or in terrible shape (or conversely palatial or newly built or remodeled). Let’s begin with single family homes. The median list price for homes in Sunnyvale CA – by pricing quartile – interestingly, the high end homes are doing the best! (Live charts from Altos Research, which uses LIST prices, not sale prices.)

Sunnyvale real estate market: Altos Research, median list prices by quartile

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

What about the numbers for the closed sales? Now let’s have a look at the Sunnyvale CA RE Report for last month’s trends and statistics (click on link to get the full Sunnyvale real estate market report):

Sunnyvale Real Estate Market Trends at a Glance

Down a bit month over month, but still up nicely from last year.

Trends At a Glance Jul 2018 Previous Month Year-over-Year
Median Price $1,900,000 (-5.5%) $2,010,000 $1,730,000 (+9.8%)
Average Price $1,873,190 (-4.2%) $1,956,120 $1,654,260 (+13.2%)
No. of Sales 44 (-18.5%) 54 59 (-25.4%)
Pending 50 (+31.6%) 38 40 (+25.0%)
Active 56 (+21.7%) 46 28 (+100.0%)
Sale vs. List Price 107.4% (-2.3%) 110.0% 111.0% (-3.2%)
Days on Market 15 (-16.2%) 17 18 (-19.0%)
Days of Inventory 38 (+54.6%) 25 14 (+168.2%)

 

And from June:

 

Trends At a Glance Jun 2018 Previous Month Year-over-Year
Median Price $2,010,000 (-0.3%) $2,016,890 $1,820,000 (+10.4%)
Average Price $1,956,120 (-2.6%) $2,008,840 $1,794,320 (+9.0%)
No. of Sales 54 (-23.9%) 71 62 (-12.9%)
Pending 38 (-19.1%) 47 52 (-26.9%)
Active 46 (0.0%) 46 17 (+170.6%)
Sale vs. List Price 110.0% (-5.3%) 116.1% 113.1% (-2.7%)
Days on Market 17 (+78.9%) 10 15 (+19.4%)
Days of Inventory 25 (+27.1%) 19 (+210.7%)

 

Yeowch! This market’s beyond hot – it’s scorching! The average sales haven’t cooled much since the last month with the average sales happening at 120.4% of list price. Properties are still flying off the shelves at 10 days on market.

What about the Sunnyvale condo and townhome market?

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The Santa Clara County real estate market is cooling off, which is very often the case in summers here. It varies from place to place within the region, and one pricing tier to the next, but I am definitely seeing and hearing about fewer offers, more lowball offers, contingencies creeping back into sales, etc. In red hot properties with great schools, you might get a half dozen offers…and three of them may be “bad” offers from home buyers who are pessimistic on the market. They do not get the sale, of course, but it is interesting to hear about an increase in those kinds of bids.

My RE REport just came out, and here are some images and data from that for Santa Clara County. First, the market barometer. Here, you can see that sellers had stronger power in March than they do now – by quite a lot! (Click on the image to go to the report and see a clearer version of it.)

Graphic image - Santa Clara County market barometer.

 

Next, the average and median sale prices and the number of units (again, click on the image to go to the report). This graphic does not look as bad or as much of a change as the one before, though you can see that since May prices have gone down a little, and sales are now tipping downward and are fewer than sales for this time last year.

Graph of Santa Clara County home prices and sales

Next, the sale price to list price ratio is a bit more startling. Sales are still averaging about 1-05% of list price – so that is hard for sellers to complain about – however, it is unmistakable that the climate for home selling in Silicon Valley is undergoing a change and this is literally past its peak. Buyers and sellers alike need to wonder whether it will calm down or continue at the current rate of decline. Is it a buying opportunity, or the beginning of a correction?

Graphic of the Santa Clara County sale price to list price ratio

The numbers themselves point to a turnaround in the market. I’ll jot the median sale price for the county here – it’s a large enough pool of sales to be pretty reliable as a gauge of the real estate market in the San Jose area:

July 2018 $1,350,000
June 2018 $1,402,000
May 2018  $1,416,000
April 2018  $1,420,000
March 2018 $1,450,000 – PEAK
February 2018 $1,380,000
January 2018 $1,163,000

Between March and July, the median sale price dropped $100,000, or 6.89%. As you can see, it had also jumped considerably between January and March, and even at today’s lower median sales price, it’s still higher than January. It will be interesting to see where it ends up in January of 2019.

A quick look at the numbers for this month’s Santa Clara County RE Report:

Trends at a Glance

Trends At a Glance Jul 2018 Previous Month Year-over-Year
Median Price $1,350,000 (-3.7%) $1,402,000 $1,175,000 (+14.9%)
Average Price $1,624,690 (-5.1%) $1,712,500 $1,409,380 (+15.3%)
No. of Sales 847 (-13.3%) 977 1,015 (-16.6%)
Pending 924 (-0.6%) 930 931 (-0.8%)
Active 1,151 (+8.0%) 1,066 816 (+41.1%)
Sale vs. List Price 105.6% (-2.0%) 107.8% 105.5% (+0.1%)
Days on Market 19 (+13.7%) 17 20 (-6.7%)
Days of Inventory 41 (+28.8%) 32 24 (+69.0%)

 

It’s now August 10th and it’s too early to know for sure what the August numbers are doing, but normally August is a quiet month with sale prices a little off. So we’ll see. Continue reading

Morgan Hill land along the Uvas RiverHow’s the real estate market in Morgan Hill? This article will include data, trends and statistics for both houses and condominiums/townhouses.

For the single family home segment in this “south county” town, prices are up more than 20% year over year and flat month over month. The single family home and condo market are both seller’s markets, but it’s a lot deeper for houses than for condominiums or townhomes.

The cities of Morgan Hill and Gilroy are usually a bit less in demand than parts of Santa Clara County which are either tech magnets or closer to these big businesses. So while most of the Silicon Valley has a sale price to list price ratio of anywhere from 100% to 110%, it’s generally lower here, making the home buying conditions calmer for weary buyers, though still a sellers market. Below is a chart with basic info, but to see more information, you may click on this link to see the Real Estate Report for Morgan Hill.

Trends at a Glance for Single Family Homes in Morgan Hill

Trends At a Glance May 2018 Previous Month Year-over-Year
Median Price $1,100,000 (0.0%) $1,100,000 $887,500 (+23.9%)
Average Price $1,130,880 (+0.7%) $1,122,850 $908,325 (+24.5%)
No. of Sales 55 (+17.0%) 47 50 (+10.0%)
Pending 59 (-3.3%) 61 80 (-26.3%)
Active 54 (+17.4%) 46 76 (-28.9%)
Sale vs. List Price 104.3% (0.0%) 104.3% 100.4% (+3.8%)
Days on Market 31 (-31.0%) 45 15 (+102.9%)
Days of Inventory 29 (+3.8%) 28 46 (-35.4%)

 

And the numbers from last month:

 

Trends At a Glance Apr 2018 Previous Month Year-over-Year
Median Price $1,100,000 (+10.0%) $1,000,000 $760,000 (+44.7%)
Average Price $1,122,850 (-0.4%) $1,126,810 $838,204 (+34.0%)
No. of Sales 47 (+42.4%) 33 24 (+95.8%)
Pending 61 (-12.9%) 70 65 (-6.2%)
Active 46 (+31.4%) 35 80 (-42.5%)
Sale vs. List Price 104.3% (+0.5%) 103.7% 102.4% (+1.8%)
Days on Market 45 (+92.4%) 24 27 (+70.0%)
Days of Inventory 28 (-10.8%) 32 97 (-70.6%)

 

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Another Silicon Valley real estate market bubble? (Image of bubbles in a hot tub.)Hearing the real estate market “war stories” about dozens of offers on Silicon Valley properties and overbids ranging from 20 – 55% had convinced me that we were in a Silicon Valley real estate market bubble back in early 2013. At least, this is what a bubble looks like, sounds like, feels like, and acts like.   At the time I thought, “how much longer could this continue?”  Four years and counting – that is the answer.

I tell my family and friends that we are in “crazyland” as buyers purchase homes with no contingencies of any kind, houses sell in 10 days or less (if everything is right, which seems to be the case 75% of the time), and those same properties are selling at well over list price and with much more than 20% down.

The absorption rate, or months of inventory: it is a Silicon Valley real estate market bubble?

What do the numbers say?  I just logged into MLSListings.com and see that right now, in all of Santa Clara County there are 817 single family homes (houses + duet or attached single family homes).  The pending and contingent homes measure 1074, far more! That ratio alone suggests that the market is in overdrive.  In the last 30 days, 950 single family  homes have sold & closed escrow.  So the months of inventory is 817 divided by 950 = .86 of a month of inventory, so about 3.5 weeks of inventory. (When I originally blogged about the potential bubble, it was 1.8 months of inventory.)

In other words, things are flying off the shelves. And they have been, with only a few minor blips here and there, since early 2012. Does that sound like a Silicon Valley real estate market bubble to you – a crazy strong seller’s market lasting 4.5 years?  I could be wrong, but I think of bubbles as being something fairly swift, not a multi year trend.

Homes are selling faster than new ones are coming onto the market!

It’s one thing to say that one city, town, or school district has a very low months of inventory (or high absorption rate).  It is another altogether to say an entire county is that low.  This is a major trend, not a tiny blip in the statistics.

How soon we forget that after the outrageously deep seller’s market in 2000, we had a steep drop in 2001.  Or that all the crazy buying in the San Jose area (and other places) in 2005-06, combined with bad financial regulations, lead to the crash of 2007-2009. But perhaps that enormous “correction”, in which Santa Clara County lost about 50% of its value on average, had more room to recover than we initially realized. Jobs keep flowing in, and housing starts are not keeping up. Supply and demand – the age old equation. That would seem to refute the idea that this is a Silicon Valley real estate market bubble. Perhaps low inventory and strong demand are what we should be expecting going forward. Continue reading

Severe inventory shortage

Why is it so hard to buy a home in Silicon Valley?  Most of it has to do with our ongoing and severe inventory shortage.

I initially wrote the article below on Feb 9, 2012.  I thought it was bad then – and I suppose that relatively speaking, it was. But it’s much worse now!

Today is May 1, 2017, and I ran the numbers of available single family homes in Santa Clara County in a chart comparing since January of 2012.  Have a look, and please note the year over year numbers:

2017-05-01 Santa Clara County Inventory of Single Family Homes

The situation has only intensified since I first wrote this article in early 2012.  There are many reasons for the problem: older people won’t sell for tax reasons (mostly capital gains). move up buyers who elect to stay and add on rather than deal with hugely increased property taxes.  In general, home owners are opting to “buy and hold”.

Is it hard to buy a house in the San Jose area? You bet.  And unfortunately, I don’t see an end in sight anytime soon.

*********************************

Original article: Feb 9, 2012

Right now I’m working with a number of very frustrated home buyers.  Silicon Valley real estate inventory is painfully low, and in the lower price ranges especially, that means multiple offers are fairly common.  FHA home buyers, in particular, are getting out bid and out negotiated by all cash buyers, many of whom are investors.

How low is the inventory?  Let’s have a look at January’s inventory for houses & duet homes (“class 1” or single family homes) over the last ten years in Santa Clara County (San Jose, Los Gatos, Campbell, etc.):

2012  1,382
2011  2,007
2010  2,426
2009  4,759
2008  4,872
2007  2,698
2006  2,202
2005  1,285
2004  1,612
2003  3,119

The average January inventory of available houses over the last 10 years is 2,636.  At 1,382, January 2012’s available inventory of houses for sale in the San Jose area was just 52% of normalContinue reading

The luxury homes market frequently behaves very differently than the rest of the real estate market as a whole.  If interest rates jump around, the impact is often far less since the home buyers of estate properties may not be nearly as dependent upon financing.  Many of these fine homes & estates are paid for “all cash”.  (In some cases they do this but later arrange financing, perhaps funding a “charitable remainder” trust rather than a more typical institutional loan.)

How’s the real estate market for high end homes in Los Gatos, Monte Sereno and the Los Gatos Mountain communities?  Defining “luxury homes” is a bit tricky because what constitutes luxury can vary from area to area (check out these estate homes for sale in the Buffalo NY area). For now let’s use prices of $2 million or greater as we first look at the Months of Inventory or Absorption Rate – though in fairness, the luxury price point is a little lower in the mountains.  (Six months is considered balanced by the National Association of Realtor, less is a sellers market and more is a buyers market.)  I first did this study in October of 2012 and will provide those numbers as a window back in time for comparison purposes.

Los Gatos area luxury market

Monte Sereno is having no trouble selling luxury homes compared to the rest of the Los Gatos area right now.  The Los Gatos Mountains (Chemeketa Park, Redwood Estates, Aldercroft Heights and other areas) struggles with the over $2 million market.

No matter how you look at it, overall it is a seller’s market in the luxury home strata in Monte Sereno and Los Gatos – but not the Los Gatos Mountains. It is not so crazy as the entry level homes, which have a much faster absorption rate, so buyers, take heart!  Three months of inventory is pretty doable and not so far from a “balanced” market here.

Altos charts on the LG area

Next we’ll change gears and use Altos Research and quartiles to evaluate the most expensive listings.  We will look at the top quartile of list prices, the high end listings in Los Gatos (zip codes 95030 and 95032 in town), in the Los Gatos Mountains (unincorporated, 95033) and Monte Sereno (99.9% of which is in 95030 but a tiny sliver has the 95032 zip code).   The charts I’m using are live and will be continuously updated by Altos Research, to which I have a subscription.

List prices of homes for sale in the topmost price quartile in Los Gatos, Monte Sereno and the Los Gatos Mountains

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.comContinue reading

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Translation

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Mary Pope-Handy
Realtor
ABR, CIPS, CRS, SRES
Sereno Group Real Estate
214 Los Gatos-Saratoga Rd
Los Gatos, CA 95030
408 204-7673
Mary (at) PopeHandy.com
License# 01153805


Selling homes in
Silicon Valley:
Santa Clara County,
San Mateo County, and
Santa Cruz County.
:
Special focus on:
San Jose, Los Gatos,
Saratoga, Campbell,
Almaden Valley,
Cambrian Park.
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The real estate search
Use the widget below to browse properties which are for sale, under contract (pending) or sold. Want to view only homes which are available now? Use the "find a home" link on the menu above (next to the "home" button).
Mary’s other sites & blogs
Valley Of Hearts Delight
Santa Clara County Real Estate,
with an interest in history

Move2SiliconValley.com
Silicon Valley relocation info

popehandy.com
Silicon Valley real estate,
focus on home selling

Silicon Valley Real Estate Report
Silicon Valley real estate
market trends & statistics
Mary’s Blog Awards
Top 25 real estate blogs of 2018 by RentPrep2018 RentPrep.com's list of top 25 real estate blogs to follow


Top 25 real estate blogs 2016
2016: Personal Income's list of top 25 real estate blogs.


Best Realtor blog award
2016: Coastal Group OC's list of best Realtor blogs


The 2009 Sellsius list of top 12 women real estate bloggers
2009: Sellsius list of top
12 women real estate bloggers


Mary Pope-Handy's Live in Los Gatos blog won the 2007 Project Blogger contest, sponsored by Inman News and Active Rain

2007: Mary Pope-Handy and Frances Flynn Thorsen win the Project Blogger Contest for Mary's Live in Los Gatos blog. The contest was sponsored by
Active Rain and Inman News.


Non blog award


Best real estate agent in Silicon Valley from the San Jose Mercury News poll of readers in 2011
"Best real estate agent
in Silicon Valley"

2011 readers' poll,
San Jose Mercury News

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