Saturday, June 5th, 2010
The condominium & townhouse market is improving dramatically now. It is evident both in looking at the stats countywide and in my recent experiences holding open my townhouse listings in Saratoga and Sunnyvale as well as recently participating in the sale of a townhome in Almaden Valley (representing a buyer) – all different areas and price points but all very active.
Here are the numbers for May sales of condos and townhomes for all of Santa Clara County:
| Trends At a Glance |
May 2010 |
Previous Month |
Year-over Year |
| Median Price |
$383,500 |
$345,000 (+11.2%) |
$310,000 (+23.7%) |
| Average Price |
$402,766 |
$378,978 (+6.3%) |
$355,881 (+13.2%) |
| No. of Sales |
434 |
297 (+46.1%) |
314 (+38.2%) |
| Pending Properties |
1,009 |
1,154 (-12.6%) |
526 (+91.8%) |
| Active |
927 |
873 (+6.2%) |
1,037 (-10.6%) |
| Sale vs. List Price |
99.9% |
100.6% (-0.7%) |
97.6% (+2.4%) |
| Days on Market |
47 |
59 (-20.1%) |
75 (-37.2%) |
As you can see, the days on market are shrinking and prices (both median and average) are rising. A few numbers cut back slightly in May: the sale to list price ratio retreated a little to 99.9% and the pending properties went down a little too. But the number of sales were up.
The “months of inventory” or absorption rate is a great way to know how much of a buyer’s or seller’s market it is in any given place. Six months is considered balanced, less is a seller’s market and more is a buyer’s market. Here are the months of inventory for selected communities in the “west valley” area of Silicon Valley – they are all “seller’s markets”, but some are strong and some are approaching balanced:
| Campbell |
1.69 |
| Cupertino |
1.86 |
| Cambrian (SJ) |
1.86 |
| San Jose |
1.93 |
| Sunnyvale |
2.05 |
| Santa Clara |
2.08 |
| SC County (all) |
2.14 |
| Almaden (SJ) |
3.00 |
| Palo Alto |
3.67 |
| Los Altos |
4.00 |
| Los Gatos |
5.13 |
| Saratoga |
5.25 |
| Willow Glen (SJ) |
5.71 |
Of course, this is still painting with a broad brush. The absorption rate for any of these areas may not be accurate for the various price points or school districts that might be found there. For instance, a large luxury townhouse in Los Gatos which is downtown might be a really different type of market than a small, entry level one bordering Campbell or Cambrian Park.
What everyone’s wondering is if this seller’s market for condominiums and townhouses will continue despite the end of the federal home buyer credit. To utilize that credit, homes had to be in contract by April 30th. Most of those should be closed now, or nearing that date at best. So we’ll really know more as we move into summer. My sense, though, is that what’s driving this market is much more the affordable prices of homes and of loans. The credits are a bonus, but many in Silicon Valley make too much money to be able to use them.
For information on your particular part of the Silicon Valley condo or townhome market, please give me a call or email me!
Tags: Absorption Rate, Almaden Valley (SJ), Cambrian, Campbell, condominium, Cupertino, homes for sale, Los Altos, Los Gatos, market, months of inventory, Real estate, san jose, Santa Clara County, Saratoga, silicon valley, Sunnyvale, townhome, townhouse, update, West Valley, Willow Glen (SJ)
Posted in Almaden Valley (SJ), Cambrian Park (SJ), Campbell, Condos & Townhomes, Cupertino, Los Altos, Los Gatos, Palo Alto, San Jose (all areas), Santa Clara, Santa Clara County (all), Saratoga, Sunnyvale, Willow Glen (SJ) | No Comments »
Wednesday, December 9th, 2009
It is a fairly strong seller’s market in the Cambrian Park area of San Jose. Sales are up, inventory is down, and the list price to sales price ratio is at almost 102%. Days on market are down for houses (which make up most of the market). Some indicators are still negative but most are improving.
Here are the numbers from my online Silicon Valley Real Estate Report for single family homes – houses & duet homes (click on the link for the whole report):
| Trends At a Glance |
Nov 2009 |
Previous Month |
Year-over Year |
| Median Price |
$585,000 |
$617,500 (-5.3%) |
$584,500 (+0.1%) |
| Average Price |
$612,195 |
$644,434 (-5.0%) |
$629,332 (-2.7%) |
| No. of Sales |
57 |
48 (+18.8%) |
34 (+67.6%) |
| Pending Properties |
77 |
93 (-17.2%) |
43 (+79.1%) |
| Active |
80 |
81 (-1.2%) |
204 (-60.8%) |
| Sale vs. List Price |
101.9% |
98.7% (+3.3%) |
98.6% (+3.3%) |
| Days on Market |
36 |
45 (-18.6%) |
50 (-26.8%) |
And for the condo and townhouse market in Cambrian Park, things are looking up quite dramatically, with prices even higher than a year ago:
(more…)
Tags: Cambrian Park (SJ), market, statistics, trends, update
Posted in Cambrian Park (SJ), Market Reports | No Comments »
Wednesday, October 28th, 2009
The post below was written in October 2009. To see the most current posts on Willow Glen and the real estate market there, please click on this link to see all related posts with the most current on top. At the bottom of this post, I’ll add links to some articles which are specifically related to the Willow Glen real estate market trends & statistics, too.
Willow Glen is an interesting, varied, historic, scenic and upscale part of Silicon Valley. It is convenient to downtown San Jose but has its own distinct history; even though it’s been part of the city of San Jose for nearly 75 years, ask a Willow Glen resident where he or she lives and the answer will be “Willow Glen”, not San Jose.
I’ll use Altos Research for my source (a subscription I have & have the right to reproduce images etc here). Since 95% of Willow Glen is composed of 95125 zip code, that’s what we’ll use. The graphs below are dynamic so although I’m posting this in fall of 2009, the charts should be accurate in the future too. NB, Altos uses list prices.
List prices for San Jose, 95125 over the last 12 months by price quartile:

Average days on market for San Jose, 95125 over the last 12 months by price quartile:
(more…)
Tags: market, Neighborhoods, real estate market, trends, update, Willow Glen (SJ)
Posted in Market Reports, Neighborhoods, Willow Glen (SJ) | No Comments »
Tuesday, January 20th, 2009
The Almaden Valley real estate market is complex – “how it is” very much depends on the price point, school district (there are several in Almaden) and neighborhood. The broad overview and the micro-view of this San Jose area are both helpful to buyers and sellers. Today we’ll do a little of each. (Graphs courtesy of two subscriptions I have: one is the REReport and the other is Altos Research. Both used by permission.)
First let’s see how Almaden Valley homes for sale fared in recent months, in 2008 and in recent years. Then we’ll have a look at the current situation. Here are a couple of graphs that make clear the condo market in this part of Silicon Valley:

Inventory has been rising in recent months, and sales have been declining fairly steadily in recent years. If you have friends who sell homes or home loans and work the Almaden or Silicon Valley market, you already know that things have been worsening for quite awhile.
Now let’s look at the single family home market; first is the the days of inventory over the last 18 months or so and then the number of sales in Almaden over the last few years.

The patterns among single family homes in Almaden are even more clear in terms of the numbers of sales: it’s a straight decline. Time on the market has fluctuated a little but the overall movement has been for longer time to sell a home.
(more…)
Tags: almaden valley, condos, homes, house values, market reprorts, Real estate, single family homes, statistics, trends, update
Posted in Almaden Valley (SJ), Luxury Homes, Market Reports | No Comments »
Tuesday, December 16th, 2008
If you are contemplating selling one home and buying another in the same general area, it may be that you need more space – or it may be that you simply want a home that’s updated and you’re not sure you want to experience, first-hand, the joys of remodeling.
Not too long ago, I stumbled upon a website to help folks work through this question: www.RemodelOrMove.com.
Have a look. I think it’s pretty unbiased information that can help with this angle of the “move up” question.
Tags: move, remodel, update
Posted in FAQs, Home Improvement | 1 Comment »