The inventory of available homes to buy is painfully low throughout San Jose, Santa Clara County, and Silicon Valley. Here’s a view of San Jose’s real estate listings inventory over the last few years: it gives a good idea of how far out of balance the supply and demand formula is.    The amount of inventory normally is lowest in December and January, and it usually begins to rise by the middle of February.  In the chart below, you can see a marked point downward at around the 1st of each year.  In recent years, though, that’s not the only time when it dips to the low side.  Also it should be noted that we have seen lower inventory in the last few years – just not during this season.

app?pai=50109450&service=chart&st=CA&cid=60&zid=2897591&rt=sf&ra=a&q=a&s=median inventory&sz=l&ts=z&theme=newchart - When will Silicon Valley housing inventory begin to rise again?

If we step back and consider all of Santa Clara County instead, the pattern looks much the same.

app?pai=50109450&service=zrchart&zid=5195179&rt=sf&ra=a&q=a&s=zip region inventory&sz=l&ts=z - When will Silicon Valley housing inventory begin to rise again?

And finally, inventory for the whole San Francisco Bay Area – again, the same pattern, so we can see that this very likely applies to San Mateo County as well:

app?pai=50109450&service=zrchart&zid=4683651&rt=sf&ra=a&q=a&s=zip region inventory&sz=l&ts=z - When will Silicon Valley housing inventory begin to rise again?

Most years, the last quarter sees primarily declining inventory overall, as these charts bear out.  In my real estate practice, I have noticed that more listings do come on the market in September and October – but home buyers scoop them up, perhaps wanting to be in their new home either for the holidays or perhaps before the end of the year for tax reasons.   So they tend to sell faster than they go on the market, making the overall inventory shrink even as new listings come on the market.  This makes it a great time to sell…and continuing to make it a challenging time to buy.

To circle back to the original question, then: when will inventory improve for home buyers?  If the pattern continues, probably not until March or April, or perhaps later in 2015 – if then.  Should hiring in Silicon Valley continue at the current pace, the demand will continue to outstrip supply.  So shop now – and be prepared to move fast if you find the right property!

  1. 3 beds, 2 baths
    Home size: 1,755 sq ft
    Lot size: 6,120 sqft
  2. 5 beds, 2 baths
    Home size: 2,820 sq ft
    Lot size: 6,237 sqft
  3. 3 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 1,507 sq ft
    Lot size: 6,224 sqft
  4. 4 beds, 2 baths
    Home size: 1,313 sq ft
    Lot size: 5,000 sqft
  5. 4 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 2,288 sq ft
    Lot size: 8,058 sqft
  6. 5 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 2,062 sq ft
    Lot size: 5,972 sqft
  7. 4 beds, 2 baths
    Home size: 1,344 sq ft
    Lot size: 4,996 sqft
  8. 4 beds, 3 baths
    Home size: 2,124 sq ft
    Lot size: 7,958 sqft
  9. 2 beds, 1 bath
    Home size: 885 sq ft
    Lot size: 4,721 sqft
  10. 3 beds, 4 baths
    Home size: 1,901 sq ft
    Lot size: 1,206 sqft

See all Real estate in the city of San Jose.
(all data current as of 9/22/2018)

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.


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Mary Pope-Handy
Sereno Group Real Estate
214 Los Gatos-Saratoga Rd
Los Gatos, CA 95030
408 204-7673
Mary (at)
License# 01153805

Selling homes in
Silicon Valley:
Santa Clara County,
San Mateo County, and
Santa Cruz County.
Special focus on:
San Jose, Los Gatos,
Saratoga, Campbell,
Almaden Valley,
Cambrian Park.
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Top 25 real estate blogs 2016
2016: Personal Income's list of top 25 real estate blogs.

Best Realtor blog award
2016: Coastal Group OC's list of best Realtor blogs

The 2009 Sellsius list of top 12 women real estate bloggers
2009: Sellsius list of top
12 women real estate bloggers

Mary Pope-Handy's Live in Los Gatos blog won the 2007 Project Blogger contest, sponsored by Inman News and Active Rain

2007: Mary Pope-Handy and Frances Flynn Thorsen win the Project Blogger Contest for Mary's Live in Los Gatos blog. The contest was sponsored by
Active Rain and Inman News.

Non blog award

Best real estate agent in Silicon Valley from the San Jose Mercury News poll of readers in 2011
"Best real estate agent
in Silicon Valley"

2011 readers' poll,
San Jose Mercury News