Cupertino Real Estate Market Trends and Statistics

Cupertino real estate market will be more expensive for view homes in nearly all cases -image taken from Ridge VineyardsHow’s the Cupertino real estate market? The Spring market is underway and the market is hot. The best homes are getting multiple offers and high overbids. Prices are up from last year, though down from last month. Some of this may be seasonality.

Our inventory has been extremely constricted, so it looks like these market conditions will persist for the near future, at the very least.

Cupertino Real Estate market – Closed Sales and Trends at a Glance

Here are the most recent real estate statistics, via our Cupertino Real Estate Report. The market is HOT! It has cooled just slightly from the month before, but not enough to bring any relief to weary home buyers.

(If you’re viewing the chart below on a mobile device, please swipe horizontally to see all columns.)

 

Trends At a GlanceMay 2024Previous MonthYear-over-Year
Median Price$3,410,000 (-1.2%)$3,450,000$2,802,000 (+21.7%)
Average Price$3,278,860 (-7.1%)$3,529,810$2,747,450 (+19.3%)
No. of Sales22 (-33.3%)3322 (0.0%)
Pending24 (+60.0%)1517 (+41.2%)
Active17 (0.0%)1717 (0.0%)
Sale vs. List Price109.4% (-1.2%)110.8%104.0% (+5.2%)
Days on Market11 (+7.0%)1020 (-44.9%)
Days of Inventory23 (+55.2%)1523 (0.0%)

 

Prices are up annually, but off monthly. The market remains hot, though, as several data points underscore.

Next, the Cupertino real estate market via the Altos Research weekly charts (they use LIST prices, not sale prices):

 

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Market comparison: Los Gatos, Saratoga, Cupertino and Los Altos

Market comparison: Los Gatos, Saratoga, Cupertino and Los AltosToday we’re looking at the real estate market for houses in some of the “west valleycommunities along the base of the Santa Cruz Mountains – areas where schools are good, crime is low, residents enjoy scenic views of the hills (or of the valley from the hills, depending on the location) and overall, a highly educated population not too far from Highway 85. This will be a real estate market comparison for Los Gatos, Saratoga, Cupertino, and Los Altos.

Of the four municipalities, three are really very similar to each other in several regards.  Cupertino has the largest population – about 61,000 people – but Los Altos, Los Gatos and Saratoga are all similarly sized, somewhere between 31,000 residents.  The latter three also enjoy a traditional “downtown” area which is popular with pedestrians, bicyclists and motorists alike. (Monte Sereno has under 4,000 residents, which is so small that the statistics are very easily thrown from month to month, so it is omitted in this quick study.)  Of the four, Cupertino, then, is the least similar due to size and lack of a central downtown area for now. This may feel different once the Vallco Mall is redeveloped.

We’ll take a quick look at these areas now in terms of the real estate market trends and statistics for each area, considering just “class 1” (houses and duet homes).  The charts used below are from Altos Research, to which I have a subscription, and they will be automatically updated each week.

Please note:  the Los Gatos data is probably a little artificially low as it will include all 3 zip codes, meaning also the Los Gatos Mountains, which are quite a bit more affordable than the areas “in town”.

In addition, as of this writing we are in the shelter-in-place phase 1 of the pandemic. This post is updated approximately every quarter or half-year, so we’re just starting to see the results of these changes to the market,  but it will take a while to see the full picture. For now you can read more about the Coronavirus impact on real estate sales in my post on the topic.

Also, during the shutdown so far, the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) stopped the timer on all Days on Market (DOM). Therefore these numbers will be off beginning from March 17th through around May 17th. In the data below, this will affect any numbers related to the days on market, the absorption rate, and the days of inventory.

Now on with the analysis!

Market Comparisons

(1) Median List Price (per Altos Research):

 

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

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Pricing in the San Jose Real Estate Markets of Almaden Valley, Cambrian Park and Willow Glen

San Jose is the largest city in Santa Clara County (or Silicon Valley) with about one million residents. The districts or areas within San Jose vary tremendously in many ways, including their respective real estate markets.

Today we’ll have a comparative look at the median list prices in the housing market in three areas & zip codes of San Jose: Almaden Valley (95120), Cambrian Park (95124) and Willow Glen (95125).  First, how these three areas line up against each other and against San Jose as a whole in terms of the median list prices of homes for sale in the last year.

Please note: the charts below are “live” html and the commentary is appropriate as of today, Nov. 23, 2015  The charts will continue to change and be updated,though, so it’s possible that a year from now the commentary may seem disjointed.  Now you’ll know why!

First, a glance at Almaden, Willow Glen, Cambrian and San Jose generally.

 

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

 

Almaden prces took a little dip in mid to late summer, and so did Willow Glen 95125.  Cambrian 95124, though, has been very strong (as I can attest from working with buyers and sellers there recently). San Jose as a whole is close to flat.

 

San Jose as a whole, by price quartile is next. It is pretty level generally at this time.

 

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

 

Next, let’s focus on the Almaden Valley area of town by price quartile also:

 

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

 

As we might expect, the least volatile pricing is in the most affordable homes.

Next, Cambrian Park…
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The Silicon Valley Real Estate Market is in Recovery, But Not Every Area Is! A Study of Sunnyvale, Santa Clara and Saratoga Median List Prices

The real estate news is so mixed it’s mind boggling, whether it’s a national perspective, one specific to California, the San Francisco Bay Area, the “south Bay”, Silicon Valley or even San Jose in particular.  It is anything but a uniform, monolithic market. Even so, it’s good to look at the big picture along side the hyper local level, and that’s what we’ll do today.

Today’s San Jose Mercury News featured a front page article by Sue McAllister (an excellent reporter) on Santa Clara County housing values.  She shares that Zillow says that we’ve hit bottom here in Santa Clara County.  That is certainly good news to home owners accross Silicon Valley!  And I don’t disagree that countywide, we’re definitely looking up right now.  No guarantees for the future, but Zillow says that the threat of a second or double dip no longer seems likely. Whew!

Unfortunately, there’s another real risk to this recovery and it’s not the “shadow industry”. This time it’s homeowners walking away because they’re underwater (not because they can’t afford to stay, but because they choose not to).  Sixty Minutes did a segment on this phenomena of home owners walking away last night., which you can watch via this link.
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Median List Prices in Monte Sereno, Los Gatos and the Los Gatos Mountains

Are real estate prices rising in Silicon Valley? In many places and certainly in the lowest price ranges, housing prices are going up. I see this especially in entry level homes for sale but also in the most affordable homes in expensive areas too.

In Monte Sereno, Los Gatos, and in the Los Gatos mountain communities it’s often a little different than the rest of the valley, so rather than generalize, let’s see for ourselves. Today I’ll use the charts from Altos Research (by permission – I have a subscription) to illustrate the pricing situation in these areas over the last 90 days among single family homes (houses rather than condos or townhouses). This post will include a series of graphs. The first chart does a great job of indicating affordability – that is, which areas/zips are more easy or difficult to afford.

Here are two snapshots of the median list price of Monte Sereno 95030, Los Gatos 95030, Los Gatos 95032, and Los Gatos mountains 95033. First, one with the 3 LG zip codes combined:

 

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

 

Then with them separated out by zip:

 

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

 

The most expensive homes in Monte Sereno appear to be the softest part of the market.

A quick word about how “mild” the changes may seem, whether up or down – this is purely a function of the graph having a very broad price range. If we separate it out to just Monte Sereno or Los Gatos alone, it looks more startling:

 

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

 

If we do JUST Los Gatos 95030:
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